Washington Redskins (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS)
NFL Week 3
Date and Time: September 21, @ 1:00 PM E
Where: Lincoln Financial Field
TV: Fox, DirectTV
by Jeff Hochman, Pro Handicapper, JHSportsline.com
Point Spread: Wash -+7/Philly -7
Over/Under Total:50
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I get to preview a big rivalry, when the Washington Redskins travel to Lincoln Financial Field looking to knock the Philadelphia Eagles from the undefeated ranks, in this Week three matchup. The Eagles are coming off that impressive comeback on Monday Night Football. They rallied from 13 points down midway through the third quarter. The refs helped with a phantom horse collar penalty that should have never been called. That play should have been reviewed. Darren Sproles did the rest and the Eagles escaped with a 30-27 victory over the Colts. The Eagles outgained the Colts by 117 yards are now 2-0 ITS (in the stats) this season. The Redskins had very little trouble with the Jaguars last week. With Kick Cousins in at quarterback, they dismantled Jacksonville 41-10 as 7-point home chalk. The team prepared for RG3 all week and when he got injured early, the Jags had no answer with Cousins running a more up-tempo offense featuring quick passes. Washington outgained the Jaguars by 301 yards and they are also 2-0 ITS this year. This should be another one of those hard-hitting NFC East games that we all know and love.
The Eagles offense might be in for a stiff test off a short week. Last Week, Ryan Kerrigan had four sacks, and the entire team as a whole had 10. Both tied franchise highs for sacks in a game. The Redskins lead the NFL in Sacks and QB pressures. Very impressive for a 7-point division underdog. The Redskins will be playing with double revenge as the Eagles won and covered both games last season. In 2012, it was the Redskins that won and covered both games. These two teams are familiar with each other and I would not expect any surprises from either team. That most definitely will favor the underdog. This line should be closer to 5 than the current line of seven. NFC teams playing in the division after winning on Monday Night Football are just 9-22 ATS in their next game when the line is more than 3.5 points. That’s super strong stuff folks. I would not want to go against that stat.
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Both teams are playing solid even dating back to last season. Each team has gone 6-4 ITS in their last 10 games, and each team has won the turnover battle at least 60% of the time. Again, this is a huge division rival and getting 7 or more points is almost always the right side in these matchups. Especially considering the Redskins own the better defense by almost 100 yards. Lets not forget, NFC EAST underdogs are on a solid 10-3 ATS run. D. Jackson is questionable for the Redskins. I don’t think it matters if he plays or not. I like Kirk Cousins pocket presence and his decision making. With the Eagles coming off a short week, I would expect the Redskins to have a lot of success running the football early. The Eagles front seven did not do a good job against Trent Richardson and company. This will be key to the Redskins covering the spread.
The Eagles became just the fourth team in the past 30 years to win consecutive games in which they trailed by more than 14 points in the second half. I think that will catch up with the Eagles in this game The Eagles have a cluster of problems on the offensive line. They should win a close game. The road team is 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 meetings.
Jeff’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Washington Redskins +7
All the wise guys know this system and it’s worth repeating. NFC teams playing in the division after winning on Monday Night Football, are just 9-22 ATS in their next game when the line is more than 3.5 points. Take the road dog in this upset maker!