Washington Commanders at New England Patriots Prediction ATS
Washington Commanders (3-5 SU, 3-4-1 ATS) at New England Patriots (2-6, 2-6), 11/5/23
When: 1 pm ET Sunday, Nov. 5
Where: Gillette Stadium
TV: Fox
NFL Betting Odds: Wash +3.5/NE -3.5 (This is a great game to throw into a massive 19 point NFL teaser found only at Wagerweb Sportsbook!)
Money Line: Washington +150/New England -180
Total: 40.5
In a crucial inter-conference matchup, two struggling teams, the Patriots and the Commanders, will battle at Gillette Stadium on Sunday afternoon.
NFL Betting Lines
The Week 9 NFL betting market opened with New England favored by -2.5 over Washington, and the over/under set at approximately 40. Early betting action pushed the spread to -3.5 in favor of New England.
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Commanders-Patriots Betting Preview
Washington’s recent form has been disappointing, with just one win in their last six games. Last Sunday, they faced the Eagles and despite leading at halftime, they surrendered 21 unanswered points in the fourth quarter, resulting in a 38-31 loss. While the Commanders outgained the Eagles, missed opportunities on fourth downs cost them dearly.
On the other hand, New England has also struggled lately, winning just one of their last five games. Their recent loss to the Dolphins saw them fall behind early and struggle to convert on third downs. With a 2-6 record, the Patriots have the worst record in the AFC.
NFL Betting Trends
Since Tom Brady left, New England has a record of 27-31 SU and 26-31-1 ATS.
Totals Report
This season, Commanders’ games have seen a 4-4 split in totals, averaging 50 total points. Meanwhile, Patriots’ games have gone under the total in 5 out of 8, averaging 41 points. Notably, through Week 8, unders have dominated with a 72-50 record in the NFL this season.
Expert NFL Betting Pick
Washington’s inconsistency in recent games suggests they might regress this week. In contrast, New England, with a better defense, may be poised for a bounce-back performance. Given the circumstances, we recommend betting on the Patriots this Sunday.
Expert’s Prediction to Cover the Spread: Bet on the New England Patriots -3.5.
