Vikings vs. Titans ATS Pick: Are the Vikings Overrated?

When: 1 pm ET Sunday, Nov. 18
Where: Nissan Stadium
TV: CBS
NFL Betting Odds: Minn -6 / Tenn +6
Money Line: Minn -260 / Tenn +210
Over/Under: 39.5

The Vikings continue their pursuit of a playoff berth while the Titans are just looking for something positive to build on, heading into Sunday afternoon’s inter-conference bout in Nashville.

Minnesota is coming off a strange game last week in which it failed to score a touchdown but won anyway. Meanwhile, Tennessee scored two touchdowns last week but lost.

The Vikings are favored by a short touchdown on the road for Sunday. But home dogs haven’t been very dangerous so far this season.

Vikings-Titans Betting Preview

Minnesota rides a two-game winning “streak” into this Sunday following an ugly 12-7 decision at Jacksonville last Sunday. The Vikings, playing through three Sam Darnold interceptions, trailed the Jaguars 7-6 well into the fourth quarter. But Minnesota drove 68 yards to a go-ahead field goal, added another, and held on from there.

However, in scoring zero touchdowns, the Vikings came up short ATS as 7-point favorites.

Minnesota actually dominated play, out-gaining Jacksonville 402-143, winning time of possession by a 42:18 split. But Darnold threw three picks in Jags territory, two in the red zone, to keep things interesting. Fortunately for the Vikings, the Jaguars, playing with their backup QB, proved totally inept.

Meanwhile, Tennessee failed to pick up a second straight win last Sunday, losing at the Chargers 27-17. The Titans, as 8-point dogs, only trailed 13-10 late into the third quarter. But they gave up the next 14 points of the game and could not recover.

Tennessee actually played the Chargers very evenly across the stat sheet. However, a missed field goal that led to a Los Angeles touchdown in the second quarter was the game’s key turning point.

Common Opponents

These teams have played four common opponents this season: the Colts, Lions, Jets, and Packers. Minnesota played those foes to 3-1 both SU and ATS and +39 YPG, while Tennessee went 0-4 both SU and ATS but with a +12 YPG.

NFL Betting Trends

• Home teams are 75-72 SU, 65-80 ATS this season.
• Favorites are 105-47 SU, 78-72 ATS.
• Home dogs are 15-41 SU, 23-33 ATS.

Totals Report

• Unders are 6-3 in Vikings games this season, which are averaging 42 total points.
• Overs are 5-3 in Titans games, which are averaging 44 points.
• Overs are 76-75 in the NFL this season.

Touchdown Props

• Minnesota RB Chandler, who could get some touches if Jones can’t go, is catching +290 to score a touchdown.
• Tennessee WR Boyd, back after missing the last two games, is catching +450 to score a TD.

Free NFL Betting Pick

Minnesota and Darnold got off to such a great start this season, but perhaps both were playing a bit over their heads. Over his last two games, Darnold has committed six turnovers. Also, the Vikings are a little banged up on offense. Meanwhile, Tennessee can run the ball a bit and owns the No. 1 defense in the League. We’ll take the Titans plus the points.