Top Bovada Super Bowl LIX Prop Bets: Find the Hidden Gems

Even those who normally don’t play prop bets will make an exception for the Super Bowl. For many, it’s part of the experience to have a little betting interest revolving around some details of the game. The landscape for Super Bowl prop bets is a vast expanse where, if your mind can conceive it, a book will offer it. You can go off the grid and make any number of different kinds of bets. Here, we like to focus more on the football-related events and details within the game that we think offer some actual betting upside. Here are some of the ones we like at Bovada for Super Bowl LIX!

Patrick Mahomes Total Completions: Under 23.5 (+105)
Pick: Under 23.5 completions is not an indictment on Mahomes or even a salute so much to the Philly defense, but more a projection on the texture of the game. I don’t envision an uninterrupted string of drop-backs where Mahomes is in a clean pocket, just slinging it unimpeded to his targets. I picture some scrambling, some more Mahomes runs, and a game where the clock runs freely at times. And if this number is close and the Chiefs have the lead late, it might not be as easy to reach even if over 23.5 completions seem on pace to hit. It just looks like the kind of game where Mahomes might end up in the low thirties in pass attempts, which would make 24 or more completions a lofty proposition. This doesn’t mean the Chiefs won’t win or that Mahomes will have a subpar game, but I don’t see Mahomes being active enough aerially and like the “under” in this spot.

Patrick Mahomes Total Rushing Yards: Over 28.5 Yards Rushing (-115)
Pick: On one hand, gaining yards on the ground against this Philly bunch can be a tricky endeavor. The Chiefs also have a cast of backs who get a lot of work, with there only being so many carries on the table. But the Eagles may be better against the rush when dealing with running backs. The speed and imagination of Mahomes could make the difference. He might be forced to run when he didn’t plan on it, with this game seemingly rife with scrambling opportunities. And while the Chiefs are more conservative with their franchise savior during the regular season, we see Mahomes more likely to gamble in big games, with the AFC title win over Buffalo being a good example of how he can be expected to perform in big spots like this. He ran for 43 last week and ran for 41 when the Chiefs beat the Eagles two years ago in the Super Bowl, and I like him to go over 28.5 in this one.

Dallas Goedert Total Receiving Yards: Over 50.5 Yards (-120)
Pick: It was in many ways a down season for Goedert, affected by injuries and often on the field at not quite 100%. But he has caught 15 of 18 targets in the postseason and come alive in this offense, really shining against Washington in the title game, albeit with there being an overall offensive bonanza. If you’re the Chiefs, there are a lot of defensive resources that need to be exhausted on RB Saquon Barkley, in addition to the big one-two punch at wide receiver with AJ Brown and DeVonta Smith. With Hurts reconnecting recently with Goedert, who’s to say he doesn’t become the main recipient of that attention being spent elsewhere? Granted, 50.5 is a pretty robust total for a guy like Goedert, but it’s also a number that could be eclipsed early if things go the way I’m envisioning.

1+ Rushing Touchdown in Each Quarter (+1800)
Pick: We generally like to make more sensible picks, things that have a very reasonable chance of happening, like binary bets with a yay or nay stance. We also find it useful to throw a dart or two into the mix, this being one that seems to have decent value for what it’s asking. Make no mistake, to have a game break down to where rushing TDs are being scored in each quarter is not normal. But let’s say the game takes on a vibe of the last Super Bowl between these two when 73 points were scored. Even if it’s somewhat-close to that, considering the offensive sensibilities of both teams, it would seem 18-to-1 isn’t so shabby. If the Chiefs can run the ball well and maybe Mahomes pounds one in with  Hunt adding a TD, along with Barkley having a good game, you could be going into the final quarter just needing one more to collect a pretty handsome return on your investment.

Isiah Pacheco Total Rushing Yards: Under 22.5 Yards (-115)
Pick: The Chiefs have shown patience with Pacheco during a season where things didn’t really work out for him. Injuries cost him a chance to capitalize after starting his career with two promising seasons. With Mahomes peeling off more runs and Kareem Hunt doing a good job, his workload has decreased, as has his effectiveness when given the opportunity. He ended the season not looking great, has 30 yards on the ground through two postseason games, and his confidence appears to be palpably eroding. With the stakes sky-high as the Chiefs attempt to win their third consecutive Super Bowl, as they face a tough defense, I wouldn’t necessarily bank on a ton of production from Pacheco in this spot.