Texans vs. Cowboys ATS Pick: Can Houston Cover on the Road?

by | Last updated Nov 18, 2024 | nfl

Nico Collins Houston Texans

The return of star WR Nico Collins couldn’t come at a better time for Houston (-7), as they face a Cowboys secondary missing both DaRon Bland and Jourdan Lewis. Dallas’s quarterback situation remains dire after managing just 49 passing yards last week, while Houston’s offense appears ready for positive regression from their 15.09 yards per point with their full complement of weapons finally available.

Game Info:

Date: November 18, 2024

Time: 8:15 PM ET

Venue: AT&T Stadium

Line: Hou-7 (-115)/Dal +7

Total: 41.0

ML: Texans -350 / Cowboys +280

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Key Personnel Updates:

 

  • HOU (+): WR Nico Collins returns
  • HOU (-): EDGE Will Anderson Jr. out
  • DAL (-): CB DaRon Bland and NB Jourdan Lewis out
  • DAL (-): Severe QB limitations (49 passing yards vs PHI)

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Key Statistical Matchups

Offensive Metrics:

  • Yards per Point: HOU 15.09 (improving with Collins back), DAL 16.01
  • Passing Game: HOU 218.7 YPG vs DAL 210.8 YPG allowed
  • Yards per Play: HOU 5.4 (19th) vs DAL allowing 6.1 (30th)
  • Yards per Pass Attempt Allowed: DAL 7.8 (32nd)
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The Bottom Line

With Collins returning and Dallas’s secondary depleted (missing Bland, Lewis), Houston’s passing game faces an advantageous matchup against the NFL’s worst yards-per-attempt defense. Dallas’s offensive limitations (49 passing yards last week) minimize the impact of Anderson’s absence.

Prediction: Texans 27, Cowboys 16

Best Bets:

  • ⭐⭐⭐ Texans -7 (-115)
  • ⭐⭐ Team Total Over 24

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