Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Houston Texans Betting Pick for Week 9

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-4 SU, 4-3 ATS) vs. Houston Texans (3-4 SU, 4-3 ATS)

NFL Football Week 9

Date/Time: Sunday, November 5th, 2023, at 1:00 PM (EST)

Where: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX

TV: CBS

Betting Odds:

Point Spread: TB +3/HOU -3 (Bet on games for cheaper! It’s FREE!)

Moneyline: TB +130/HOU -150

Total: 40

After a promising start to the season, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have fallen into a slump with three consecutive losses. Last week’s 24-18 loss to the Buffalo Bills, while competitive, exposed the Buccaneers’ offensive struggles marked by inconsistency and inefficiency. They’ve failed to score more than 18 points in four of their last five games, leading to their status as 3-point underdogs in this week’s road trip to face the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium.

The Houston Texans, coming off a week 7 bye, suffered a disappointing loss to the previously winless Carolina Panthers last week. Houston possesses solid talent at the skill positions but needs improvement along both sides of the trenches. Ironically, they face a significant challenge in the trenches against Tampa Bay this week!

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Houston Texans Betting Analysis

This game is likely to be decided by the offense that can capitalize on scoring opportunities, whether through field position, big plays, or turnovers. Both offenses have struggled recently. Tampa Bay’s offense, led by Baker Mayfield, has faced difficulties, especially when WR Mike Evans is neutralized. Their defense has kept them competitive, particularly against the run. Houston, with rookie QB C.J. Stroud, relies on a passing game to exploit Tampa Bay’s secondary, which has allowed 270 passing yards per game. The Texans have a promising receiving corps, including Nico Collins, Tank Dell, and TE Dalton Schultz, but Stroud needs to perform better than he did last week.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Houston Texans Betting Trends

• The Buccaneers are 5-10 ATS in their last 15 games.
• The Buccaneers have gone “under” in their last 5 games.
• The Buccaneers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.
• The Buccaneers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against the Texans.
• The Texans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
• The Texans have gone “under” in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The Texans are 5-14 SU in their last 19 games.
• The Texans are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against Tampa Bay.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Houston Texans Betting Prediction

Despite perceptions, both teams are evenly matched with different strengths and weaknesses. The Buccaneers’ inability to run the ball and the Texans’ ability to pressure the quarterback will be crucial. Expect turnovers that favor the home team, leading to a victory. Therefore, I recommend taking the Texans -3.

Jay’s Pick: Take the Texans -3