SNF Pick: Dallas at San Francisco Prediction Week 8

Dallas Cowboys at San Francisco 49ers Betting Analysis & Pick | Week 8
Dallas Cowboys (3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS) vs. San Francisco 49ers (3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS)
NFL Football Week 8
Date/Time: Sunday, October 27th, 2024, 8:20PM (EST)
Where: Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, CA
TV: NBC

Betting Odds

• Point Spread: DAL +4.5 / SF -4.5
• Moneyline: DAL +175 / SF -210
• Total: 46.5

Just two weeks ago, the Dallas Cowboys suffered a significant blow with a 47-9 loss to the Detroit Lions, highlighting numerous issues and raising questions among critics. With a 3-3 record, Dallas took advantage of a bye week in Week 7 to regroup. However, they return to the field this week to face the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday Night Football at Levi’s Stadium in what promises to be a pivotal matchup.

The San Francisco 49ers, at 3-4, have also been a disappointment to start the season, losing four of their last six games. Their recent 28-18 loss to the Chiefs exposed vulnerabilities, especially from quarterback Brock Purdy, who threw three interceptions in that game. Missing Christian McCaffrey due to Achilles tendonitis, the 49ers have struggled to meet expectations, leaving Head Coach Kyle Shanahan searching for solutions. However, they now have a chance to reach .500 by hosting the Cowboys, a team they’ve beaten in their last three meetings over the past two seasons.

Dallas Cowboys vs. San Francisco 49ers Betting Analysis

In many ways, the struggles for both teams mirror each other. Neither has managed an effective run game, and both defenses, once highly regarded, have faltered. The Cowboys’ defense, especially, has underperformed this season, ranking in the bottom ten, a stark drop from its previous elite status, especially since the departure of former Defensive Coordinator Dan Quinn.

This lack of control in the rushing game has placed immense pressure on both quarterbacks. Dak Prescott has been forced to carry the Cowboys’ offense without much support from the running game, resulting in only eight touchdowns against six interceptions. Teams have doubled WR CeeDee Lamb, limiting his impact, and Dallas’s backfield ranks among the league’s weakest. Prescott has had to force plays, and without balance, the offense has struggled.

Similarly, 49ers QB Brock Purdy’s inconsistency has been problematic, with nine touchdown passes but seven interceptions on the season. With the recent season-ending injury to WR Brandon Aiyuk, the offense leans heavily on TE George Kittle and WR Deebo Samuel. Given Dallas’s weakness against the run, Shanahan is likely to focus on the ground attack. However, should that falter, San Francisco’s passing game may find itself at the mercy of Dallas’s potent pass rush.

Dallas Cowboys vs. San Francisco 49ers Betting Trends

• Dallas is 1-4 ATS in the last five games.
• Dallas has hit the “over” in six of the last eight games.
• Dallas is 4-1 SU in the last five games on the road.
• Dallas is 1-5 ATS in the last six games against NFC opponents.
• The 49ers are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 games.
• The 49ers have hit the “over” in six of the last nine games.
• The 49ers are 2-9 ATS in the last 11 games at home.
• The 49ers have hit the “over” in nine of the last 13 games against Dallas.

Dallas Cowboys vs. San Francisco 49ers Betting Prediction

This game is challenging to predict due to both teams’ underperformance relative to their talent. The 49ers’ physical rushing attack may give them an edge, potentially controlling the tempo and wearing down Dallas’s defense. With that advantage, I favor San Francisco to pull away in the second half.

Jay’s Pick: Take San Francisco -4.5