Seattle Seahawks(1-1SU, 0-2ATS)vs.Tennessee Titans(1-1SU,1-1ATS)
NFLWeek3
Date/Time:Sunday, September 24, 2017 at 4:05 PMEST
Where: Nissan Stadium
TV:DirectTV,
byJeff Hochman, Professional Handicapper, JHSportsline.com
Point Spread:SEA +2.5/ TENN -2.5
Over/Under Total:42.5
Two teams coming off their first wins of the season collide in this intriguing week 3 matchup. The Seahawks squeaked by San Francisco 12-9, failing to cover the 13.5-point spread. Seattle outgained the 49ers 312-248, while dominating time of possession by a 36:58 to 23:02 mark. The Seahawks have outgained its opponent in eight of their past 10 games dating back to last year. The Titans bounced back with a solid 37-16 victory in Jacksonville easily covering 1.5 points. The game was 6-3 Tennessee at halftime. The Titans exploded for 31 second half points. Tennessee outgained the Jags 390-310, including 179 rushing yards. Derrick Henry exposed the Jags for 92 yards on just 14 carries.
The key to this game with the play of the Seahawks’ offensive line. Seattle has the worst offensive line in the NFL and the pass protection has been sub par to say the least. The Titans have a front 7 that by the end of the season should rank in the top 10. On offense, the Titans like to run the ball a lot.We all know that Seattle is stacked on defense and arguably own the league’s best stop unit. They finished 2016 as the seventh-best team against the run, allowing just 93 yards per game. Seattle will come into this game angry as they allowed Carlos Hyde to rush for 124 yards on only 15 carries. The Seahawks are a very impressive 15-3 SU and 14-4 ATS after allowing 100+ rushing yards under Pete Carroll.
If you like teams with exceptional offensive lines against teams that have poor O’line play than the Titans should be your pick. Before the season started, I predicted the Titans as a playoff team after winning 9 games in 2016. The Seahawks are a veteran group coming off a very close victory against San Francisco. Through the first two games, Seattle has surrendered 16 QB hits (tied for fifth-highest in the league) and six QB sacks (tied for ninth-highest in the league). Small sample size but you have to start somewhere. Those are encouraging numbers for a Titans’ linebacking corps that’s recorded all four of the team’s sacks so far this season. Beware of the scrambling ability of QB Russell Wilson. He’s of the best at his position, evidenced by his 14 carries for 74 through the first two games.
This is a tough matchup for me. I liked the Titans when they opened as 2.5-point home underdogs. After the Seahawks struggled to get past San Francisco, the oddsmakers adjusted (along with some sharp action) to the current line. Tennessee is now favored by almost a Field Goal at some books. That seems about right, so on a neutral field this game would a pick em. If this game was in Seattle the Seahawks would be about a 4 to 5-point favorite. That tells me this line should be closer to Tennessee -1. The oddsmakers set a really good line to ensure a plethora of two-way action. Tennessee might be caught looking ahead to a division tilt against Houston next week. Buyer beware!
The Seahawks are 5-1 ATS in their past six games after allowing more than 150 rushing yards in their previous game.
The Titans are 28-12 SU and 24-12 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less since 1993. Seattle is 2-6 SU and 1-7 ATS in games played on a grass field over the past three seasons. Seattle is 7-1 SU in Non-Conference games over the past three seasons.
Jeff’sPick to Cover the Point Spread: OVER 42.5 Points
I will pass on a side selection and go with the squares and take the Over. My raw numbers have this total at 44. Lean over the total in what should be a great game to watch.
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