Ravens vs. Seahawks Pick 10/20/19
Baltimore Ravens (4-2 SU, 1-4 ATS) vs. Seattle Seahawks (5-1 SU, 2-3 ATS)
NFL Week 7
Date/Time: Sunday October 20th, 2019. 4:25PM (EST)
Where: CenturyLink Field Seattle, W.A.
TV: FOX
Point Spread:BAL +3.5/SEA -3.5 (Bet365)
Over/Under Total: 50
Somehow, someway, the Seattle Seahawks keep finding ways to win football games. Despite trailing 20-6 last week and trailing for the majority of the game, Seattle rallied from behind on the legs of Chris Carson and behind the clutch play of quarterback Russell Wilson to beat the Cleveland Browns 32-28. The victory marked the Seahawks 4th win this season by 4 points or less as the team moved to 5-1 SU with the 2nd best record in the NFC. This week Seattle faces another stiff challenge as slight favorites against a dangerous Baltimore Ravens team in a game that will feature two of the best dual-threat quarterbacks in the NFL.
Ravens vs. Seahawks offensive breakdown
The battle between Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson and Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson will be worth watching this week. Both quarterbacks are clutch playmakers that make plays with their feet and their arm. For all the similarities between both quarterbacks, the offenses are quite different. Head Coach Pete Carroll remains heavily focused on controlling the football and limiting opponents’ touches with the football against a defense that is no longer the central point of the team. Running back Chris Carson’s eclipsed the 100-yard mark for the 3rd consecutive game last week and ended up with 159 all-purpose yards with a touchdown. Despite the early season fumbles, Carson looks poised as the Seahawks’ workhorse in the backfield. The running success greatly helps the Seahawks passing attack and opening up opportunities down the field.
For the Ravens, the entire offense revolves around Lamar Jackson. Running back Mark Ingram had a few impressive performances early in the year, but it has become clear that this offense revolves around Jackson. The Ravens quarterback rushed for 152 yards with a touchdown and threw for another 236 yards in a controlling win against the Bengals last week. In the previous five games, Jackson has racked up 454 yards on the ground and is getting it done through the air. The play from the quarterback position has provided the fireworks for this Ravens’ unit which currently leads the league as the best offense averaging 450 total yards per game.
Positive game script for both offenses
I believe both the Ravens and Seahawks defenses are a bit underrated. I think Pete Carroll has done an excellent job of getting the best from his defense and uses the ground game to help limit opposing foe’s opportunities. Baltimore’s defense is also a bit underrated in the sense that they are strong upfront and typically perform well against the run. However, Baltimore’s defense has me concerned this week. The Ravens have rarely been challenged by a true rushing attack this year and have shown some vulnerability against the run in clutch situations. I expect Seattle’s rushing attack to have success, but I also expect Wilson to look for big plays down the field frequently. Everytime Seattle lines up against a great offense, they come out aggressive and firing. It has been a staple under Carroll in Seattle when facing prestigious offenses.
Whether or not Seattle gets a fast start remains to be seen. I do expect the tempo to be increased in this game and believe Baltimore will have opportunities as well. After a massive week against Cincinnati on the ground, Seattle will be focused on stopping Lamar Jackson. I think that will create tons of passing plays for TE Mark Andrews and WR “Hollywood” Brown. Seattle’s pass rush has become extinct in recent weeks. They have failed to record sacks in 3 of the last four games. If that happens again, Jackson is going to thrive against this vulnerable secondary. Each time that happens, it will force Russell Wilson and the Seahawks offense to respond with scores. I expect game script to push the tempo in this game and both offenses will continue to produce for a shootout in Seattle!
Over/Under trends
Seattle has hit the “over” in 4 of their last five games this season and have hit the “over” in 8 of the previous ten games going back to 2018. Baltimore also has trends that favor the “over” including 4 of their last six games overall and 4 of their last five games on the road. It is also worth mentioning that the “over“ has hit in 4 of the previous six meetings between the Ravens and Seahawks!
Jay’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Over 50. Make this bet an “OVER 30” by inserting your pick into a giant 20 point football teaser at one of the web’s oldest and most trusted NFL betting sites: Wagerweb! They also offer a 50% real cash bonus up to $500 FREE!
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