Predictem NFL Archives: January 2017 Through September 2016

Week 3 Game Previews

Monday Night Week 3 Game
Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints Pick (8:30PM EST) – 9/26

Sunday Week 3 Games
Arizona Cardinals vs. Buffalo Bills Pick (1:00PM EST) – 9/25
Cleveland Browns vs. Miami Dolphins Pick (1:00PM EST)
Washington Redskins vs.New York Giants Pick (1:00PM EST)
Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers Pick (1:00PM EST)
Denver Broncos vs. Cincinnati Bengals Pick (1:00PM EST)
Minnesota Vikings vs. Carolina Panthers Pick (1:00PM EST)
Oakland Raiders vs. Tennessee Titans Pick (1:00PM EST)
Baltimore Ravens vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Pick (1:00PM EST)
San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks Pick (4:05PM EST)
Los Angeles Rams vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Pick (4:05PM EST)
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Philadelphia Eagles Pick (4:25PM EST)
New York Jets vs. Kansas City Chiefs Pick (4:25PM EST)
San Diego Chargers vs. Indianapolis Colts Pick (4:25PM EST)
Chicago Bears vs. Dallas Cowboys Pick (8:30PM EST)

Week 3 Line Moves 9/25 9:54 AM ET: Public money has driven the Raiders up to -1.5 from pickem. The public has been all over the Cardinals since the line came out, but sharp action kept the line at -4. New injury reports have the line moving Arizona way with -4.5 being the norm now. The Ravens have gone from pickem to -2.5 with sharp money rolling in on the visitor. The public has been backing the Giants all week but the line is going the other way dropping to -3. GB has started to drop moving off of opening of -8.5 to under a TD at -6.5. The 49ers are getting the majority of the wagers but the pros are starting to come in on Seattle driving the line up to -10.5 at some of the sharper books. The Tampa Bay and Dallas games are others going against the public with the Bucs line making a small move down to -3.5 and the Cowboys falling off of the TD to -6.5 at the majority of the betting boards.

Week 3 Injuries (9/25): Arizona DT Frostee Rucker and G Evan Mathis are out. Back-up DT Robert Nkemdiche is unlikely to play. Atlanta SLB De’Vondre Campbell is out. Baltimore CB Jerraud Powers is in line to make his season debut. RB Kenneth Dixon is out. Buffalo Starting LT Cordy Glenn and WR Sammy Watkins are out and CB Ronald Darby is considered doubtful. Carolina – RB Jonathan Stewart is out. Chicago – QB Jay Cutler is out. Cincinnati – . Cleveland – Josh McCown is out so Cody Kessler will start. Promising rookie WR Corey Coleman and C Cameron Erving are out. Dallas -. Denver LB Demarcus Ware, RT Donald Stephenson and TE Virgil Green are all out. Detroit – RB Ameer Abdullah, LB DeAndre Levy and DE Ezekiel Ansah are out. Back-up LB Antwione Williams is doubtful. Green Bay CB Sam Shields and DT Letroy Guion OLB Clay Matthews and S Morgan Burnett are out. Houston LB Brian Cushing is out 4-6 weeks. Indianapolis QB Andrew Luck fully participated in practice Friday and should start. Jacksonville LT Kelvin Beachum is out. Kansas City RB LG Parker Ehinger and back-up T Jah Reid are out. RG Laurent Duvernay-Tardif is questionable and RB Jamaal Charles is doubtful. Los Angeles – Back-up WRs Pharoh Cooper and Nelson Spruce are doubtful. Back-up RB Benny Cunningham is questionable. Miami RB Arian Foster is out. Minnesota RB Adrian Peterson, LT Matt Kalil and DT Sharrif Floyd are out. CB Xavier Rhodes is expected to make his first start this season. New England QB Jimmy Garoppolo is questionable. New Orleans Both starting CBs P. J. Williams and Delvin Breaux will not play for some time. LT Terron Armstead is out. WR Willie Snead expected to be a GTD. NY Giants Will be missing RT Marshall Newhouse and FS Darian Thompson. RB Rashad Jenning is reported to be sitting this week. NY Jets WR Brandon Marshall likely to be a GTD. Oakland Get RT Menelik Watson back but lose RT Austin Howard. Back up tackle Matt McCants will also miss. Philadelphia – TE Zach Ertz and CB Loeondis McKelvin are out. Pittsburgh WR Markus Wheaton is expected to play. San Diego RB Danny Woodhead and WR Keenan Allen are out and TE Antonio Gates is expected to miss. San Francisco – . Seattle RB Thomas Rawls is unlikely to play. Tampa Bay – RB Doug Martin is out. Tennessee RG Chance Warmick is out and TE Delanie Wlaker is questionable with hamstring soreness. Washington C Kory Lichtensteiger is dealing with a back issue and is questionable to play.

Weather Forecast 9/25 9:38 AM ET: Rain or drizzle expected at Miami and Green Bay with a chance of a thunderstorm. Slight chance of a thunderstorm in Carolina, Jacksonville, Tampa Bay and Kansas City.

Thursday Week 3 Game
Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots Pick (8:25PM EST)

Week 2 Game Previews

Week 2 NFL Opening Lines
New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills Pick (8:25PM EST) – 9/15
Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns Pick (1:00PM EST) – 9/18
New Orleans Saints at New York Giants Pick (1:00PM EST)
San Francisco 49ers vs. Carolina Panthers Pick (1:00PM EST)
Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots Pick (1:00PM EST)
Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Redskins Pick (1:00PM EST)
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Houston Texans Pick (1:00PM EST)
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Pick (1:00PM EST)
Tennessee Titans vs. Detroit Lions Pick (1:00PM EST)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Arizona Cardinals Pick (4:05PM EST)
Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams Pick (4:05PM EST)
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. San Diego Chargers Pick (4:25PM EST)
Atlanta Falcons vs. Oakland Raiders Pick (4:25PM EST)
Indianapolis Colts vs. Denver Broncos Pick (4:25PM EST)
Green Bay Packersvs.Minnesota Vikings Pick (8:25PM EST)
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Chicago Bears Odds Pick (8:25PM EST)- 9/19

Week 2 Line Moves 9/17 (10:18 AM ET): Not a ton of movement on the lines early. The Patriots opened at 5.5 and moved to 6.5 but sharp money is starting to send it down again with -6 now the consensus line. The Cardinals are a big play among teaser bettors having the sharper books post Cards -7.5 plus money. Denver has continued to climb with many -6.5s now on the board against public action. The Packers were as high as -3 +102, but sharp action is coming on the Vikings with some books now offering the game at pickem. Wise guys are also hitting the Bears with the line moving to -3.5 at the outs who cater to professional players.

Week 2 Injuries (9/17): Cardinals DT Frostee Rucker is expected to miss; Atlanta SLB De’Vondre Campbell is out and LDE Brooks is unlikely to suit up; Baltimore starting OLB Elvis Dumervil unlikely and backup OLB Za’Darius Smith doubtful; Buffalo Starting LT Cordy Glenn is out; Chicago – ; Cincinnati – ; Cleveland – QB Robert Griffin III is out. Josh McCown will start; Dallas – Rookie Dak Prescott played well in Week 1 and will start in Week 2; Denver – Starting WR Demaryius Thomas is likely to play but may have his snaps limited; Detroit – WLB DeAndre Levy is now reported to be doubtful; Green Bay – CB Sam Shields is out and back ups CB Josh Hawkins and SS Chris Banjo are also banged up; Houston – LB Brian Cushing is out 4-6 weeks and LT Duane Brown is expected miss his second straight game; Indianapolis – Starting CBs Patrick Robinson and Vontae Davis and back up LB Trent Cole are out; Jacksonville DE Dante Fowler Jr missed 9/15 practice with an illness; Kansas City RB Jamaal Charles is Out; Los Angeles – ; Miami – DeVante Parker will play; Minnesota – QB Sam Bradford will start, DT Sharrif Floyd and CB Xavier Rhodes are expected to miss; New England SLB Dont’a Hightower is doubtful and TE Rob Gronkowski is reported to be out; New Orleans starting CB Delvin Breaux is out and WLB Dannell Ellerbe is unlikely to play; NY Giants: Jason Pierre-Paul should be good to go; NY Jets – ; Oakland – starting RT Menelik Watson is doubtful, but 13 game starter in LY Austin Howard who missed LW looks ready to step in; Philadelphia – TE Zach Ertz is expected to miss in WK 2; Pittsburgh WR Markus Wheaton is out and it is reported that LB Ryan Shazier will play; San Diego – WR Keenan Allen is out; San Francisco – ; Seattle QB Russell Wilson is dealing with an ankle issue; Tampa Bay – ; Tennessee OLB Derrick Morgan is questionable with a hamstring injury; Washington – .

Week 2 Weather Report (9/17): Chance of a thunderstorm at NY Giants and Pittsburgh. Slight chance of a thunderstorm at Cleveland, Houston, New England. Rain ending early in Pittsburgh.

Week 1 Game Previews

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Washington Redskins Pick (7:10PM EST) – 9/12
Los Angeles Rams vs. San Francisco 49ers Pick (10:10PM EST)

Week 1 Notes: Shaun Hill will get the nod at QB for the Vikings. Patriots TE Rob Gronkowski is said to be OUT as of Friday night.

Line Moves: Atlanta has dropped off a key three to -2.5. Philadelphia opened at 4 and is now at -3.5. Kansas City has dropped to -6.5 at some of the sharper books. Houston was as high as -6 but has now dropped to -4 against a heavy public bias. Seattle hit the board as a touchdown favorite and now is -10.5 at most outs. Indianapolis is down to a field goal favorite after opening at -4.5. Arizona has gone to as high as -7.5 at some betting shops from a late opener of -6. Pittsburgh is the big public favorite but the line has started to move the other way with some -2.5s appearing on the board.

Injuries: Cardinals no significant injuries; Atlanta Thin at safety with Keanu Neal out and Dashon Goldson questionable; Baltimore OLB Elvis Dumervil is out ; Buffalo NSI; Chicago: G Kyle Long will play; Cincinnati – TE Tyler Eifert is out; Cleveland – ; Dallas – QB Tony Romo is out. Rookie Dak Prescott will start. ; Denver – ; Detroit – ; Green Bay – ; Houston – ; Indianapolis – CB Vontae Davis is out; Jacksonville RB Chris Ivory is out; Kansas City RB Jamaal Charles is out ; Los Angeles – ; Miami – C Mike Pouncey is out, WR DeVante Parker doutful; Minnesota – QB Shaun Hill will start, CB Xavier Rhodes is out; New England Tom Brady, TE Rob Gronkowski and both starting tackles; New Orleans RB C.J. Spiller and OLB Dannell Ellerbe is out; NY Jets – ; Oakland -; Philadelphia – Rookie QB Carson Wentz will start; Pittsburgh TE Ladarius Green, RB LeVeon Bell and WR Martavis Bryant are out and WR Markus Wheaton is unlikely to play , ; San Diego – NSI; San Francisco – ; Seattle TE Jimmy Graham and RB Thomas Rawls are expected to play ; Tampa Bay – NSI ; Tennessee WR Kendall Wright; Washington – .

Weather Report: Moderate winds at 10-15 MPH expected at Baltimore and Philadelphia. Very slight chance of thunderstorms in Atlanta and New Orleans.

Thursday Game
Carolina Panthers vs. Denver Broncos Pick (8:30PM EST) – 9/8

Season Over/Unders: One of the best things going at Predictem is our annual “NFL Season Wins Picks”. These have gone 17-7 (70%) over the years. This type of action is great for those who want to invest small amount of cash to get a big entertainment value. Check out this year’s picks right here! 2016 NFL Season Wins Predictions.

Thursday, September 1st: San Francisco 49ers +1. – 9/1

Wednesday, August 31st Play: Washington Redskins +2.5. – 8/31

Saturday Play: Philadelphia Eagles +1.5. – 8/27

Friday NFLX Week 3 Pick: San Francisco 49ers -1.5. – 8/26

Thursday, August 25th NFLX Pick: Seattle Seahawks -6.

Saturday, August 20th Plays: Baltimore Ravens +2.5 and Denver Broncos -5.5.

Friday, August 19th Exhibition Pick: Miami Dolphins at a pick’em.

Thursday, August 18th NFLX Plays: Philadelphia Eagles +3 and Minnesota Vikings +3.5.

It’s never too early to start sniffing out value! Week 1 NFL Point Spreads.

How to Prepare for the Upcoming Football Season – Almost all bettors that will turn a profit in the 2016/2017 NFL season are already hitting the books. Mike Quinn gives us a great plan to help our upcoming NFL season be a profitable one!

Sunday, August 14th Play: San Francisco 49ers -3.5.

Saturday, August 13th NFLX Pick: Kansas City Chiefs -4.

Friday, August 12th NFL Preseason Pick: Minnesota Vikings +2.5.

Super Bowl 50 Game Previews and Predictions

Carolina Panthers vs. Denver Broncos Pick (6:30PM EST) – 2/7
Line moves: The point spread on Super Bowl 50 opened with the Panthers as a 3-point favorite and quickly shot up to as high as 6 points. Currently the recreational books are hanging a Carolina -6 with the sharp books putting up -5 to -5.5 on the board. The public loves the Panthers ATS with 63% of the action landing on them. The total opened at 45 and has fallen a point to 44 or 44.5 at the majority of the shops.

Weather: Sunny skies with a temperature in the low 70s. Winds are expected to be mild around 8 MPH.

Injury Notes: Carolina WLB Thomas Davis broke his forearm in the NFC title game and after surgery is expected to not only play but start. DE Jared Allen returns after missing the last game with a foot injury. Denvers secondary has been dinged up, Especially LCB Chris Harris and SS TJ Ward and FS Darian Stewart, but all practiced in full late in the week.

Best Super Bowl Prop Bets – BetOnline – Keith analyzes some of the better Super Bowl proposition bets offered at BetOnline Sportsbook and gives his picks for each.

Super Bowl 50 Proposition Bets – Bovada – Mike gives his picks with analysis for some of the more popular SB 50 prop wagers such as player to win the Super Bowl MVP award, who will rush for the most yards and more!

NFL Championship Round Game Previews and Predictions

New England Patriots vs. Denver Broncos Pick (3:05PM EST) – 1/24
Line Moves: Available closer to game time.

Weather: An 18% chance of showers turning to snow later in the game. Light winds with a kickoff temperature in the low 40s.

Injury Notes (Updated): Its the same old Patriots who list a ridiculous 21 players on their injury report with 16 of the players listed as questionable. The defense has lost MLB Jared Mayo (IR) and SLB Dont’a Hightower (Knee) and WLB Jamie Collins (Back) and sack leader DE Chandler Jones (Leg) are now expected to play. Denver is very healthy for this time of the season with really just Chris Harris Jr. dealing with a shoulder issue but he is expected to play.

Arizona Cardinals vs. Carolina Panthers Pick (6:40PM EST) – 1/24

Line Moves: Details posted closer to game time.

Weather: Light breeze with a kickoff temperature in the mid 30s in Carolina.

Injury Notes: All of the Cardinals active players were reported as practicing in full on Friday. The Panthers will be without DE Jared Allen, but back up RB Fozzy Whittaker returns after missing three games to add some depth.

Super Bowl 50 Odds (Prior to Conference Championship Games)
New England Patriots +205
Carolina Panthers +212
Arizona Cardinals +345
Denver Broncos +440

NFL Divisional Round Game Previews and Predictions

Kansas City Chiefs vs. New England Patriots Pick (4:35PM EST) – 1/16
Line moves: The Patriots opened as a 5-point favorite and have dropped to -4.5 at some shops. Betting has been close to even with the public siding to KC.

Weather: Chance of light rain early and light wind maxing out at 7MPH. Kickoff temperature is forecasted to be 34 F.

Injury Notes: Kansas City LG Laurent Duvernay-Tardif is out and C Mitch Morse remains out. The Chiefs wideout situation is not good with WR Jeremy Maclin missing the last three practices with an ankle injury and is expected to be a GTD while fellow WR Albert Wilson is questionable, but should play. On defense OLBs Tamba Hali and Justin Houston are both questionable, but are expected to play. New Englands OL continues to be an issue with RG Tre Jackson out and RT Sebastian Vollmer expected to be a GTD. WRs Julian Edelman and Danny Amendola, TE Rob Gronkowski and LB Donta Hightower are expected to play. DE Chandler Jones disciplinary is a question mark.

Green Bay Packers vs. Arizona Cardinals Pick (8:15PM EST)

Line Moves: This line opened with the Cardinals as a 7-point favorite and has held there at the majority of the sportsbooks. The public has a slight lean on the Packers with the sharps are mostly passing on this game with the ones who are playing it landing on the Cardinals. The total has dropped a point to 49 from its 50 opener.

Weather: Mostly cloudy with temperatures in the mid 50s.

Injury Notes: Green Bay WR Davante Adams has been ruled out. LT David Bakhtiari is expected to return after missing two games. Top CB Sam Shields looks likely to return after being sidelined since Dec 11 but still needs to pass concussion protocol. Arizona is relatively healthy with all five of the players on the injury report listed as probable or questionable expected to play.

Seattle Seahawks vs. Carolina Panthers Pick (1:05PM EST) – 1/17

Line Moves: The line has dropped from the Panthers -3 to -1.5 mostly in response to the news of likelihood of Seattle RB Marshawn Lynch’s return. Early action was all Carolina.

Weather: Cloudy with very light winds and temperatures in the mid 40s.

Injury Notes: Seattle is reporting once again that RB Marshawn Lynch will play, but he has left with the team to Charlotte this time around, so he should be dressed and play this week for the first time since Nov 15. Seahawks TE Luke Wilson is expected back after missing two games. Carolina CB Charles Tillman is out leaving them thin out CB after losing back up CB Benwikere in December. RB Jonathan Stewart is set to return as will WR Ted Ginn.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Denver Broncos Pick (4:40PM EST)

Line Moves: The Broncos opened on the board at -7 and have now climbed to a consensus line of -7.5 at the sportsbooks.

Weather: Partly cloudy with temperatures in the low 30s with light winds.

Injury Notes: Pittsburgh WR Antonio Brown and RB DeAngelo Williams have been ruled out. QB Ben Roethlisberger practiced in full on Friday and is expected to start. Denver QB Peyton Manning is expected to start with QB Brock Osweiler backing him up. All other players on the injury listed as probable practiced in some form on Friday and are expected to be on the field on Sunday.

NFL Wild Card Game Previews and Predictions

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Houston Texans Pick (4:20PM EST) – 1/9
Line Moves: Kansas City opened at -3and was quickly bet up to -3.5 before falling to -3 against a public bias.
Weather: Low 60s wind expected to be 15 MPH and may hit 20 MPH.
Injury Notes: Kansas City will be without C Mitch Morse but should get back arguably their best pass rusher in OLB Justin Houston. Fellow OLB Dee Ford is expected to play and OLB Tamba Hali has a good shot to suit up. Chiefs FS Houston Husain Abdullah who hasnt played since November is expected to be a go. Houston LT Duane Brown is out and OLB Jadeveon Clowney will probably be a game time decision, but should be considered very iffy after missing two practices this week.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals Pick (8:15PM EST)
Line Moves: Pittsburgh opened at 2.5 but quickly moved to -3 pus money before settling now at -3 -110 at most shops.

Weather: High 40s with a high probability of moderate rain showers.

Injury Notes: Pittsburgh RB DeAngelo Williams has been ruled out and RB Fitz Toussaint is expected to get most of the carries. His numbers on the season are 18 carries for 42 yards with the lions share coming last week against the Browns. Cincinnati QB Andy Dalton remains out so QB A.J. McCarron will make his fourth straight start.

Seattle Seahawks vs. Minnesota Vikings Pick (1:05PM EST) – 1/10
Line Moves: Seattle opened as a -4.5 point spread favorite moved to as high as -6 at the more recreational sportsbooks with reports that RB Marshawn Lynch would play. Lynch has now been ruled out and the line has fallen to Vikings -4. The total has seen a 2.5-point drop from its 42 opener to -39.5 at the majority of shops.

Weather: Temperature is expected to be a frosty 4 degrees at kickoff. Wind shouldnt be much of a factor at 5-8 MPH but will effect wind chill numbers.

Injuries: Seattle RB Marshawn has been RULED OUT after reports were out as late as Friday night that he would play. LT Russell Okung and RG J.R. Sweezy are expected to return and start. Minnesota NT Linval Joeseph should be back after missing last week which will allow Sharrif Floyd to go back to his LDT spot after filling in for Joeseph last week at nose tackle.

Green Bay Packers vs. Washington Redskins Pick (4:40PM EST)

Line Moves: This game opened on the board with Washington a -1-point favorite and has held there at most shops although some of the recreational books are hanging Packers -1. The total has fallen one point to 45.5.

Weather: High 50s with a chance of rain. Winds are expected to be 12-15 MPH.

Injury Notes: Green Bay CB Sam Shields is doubtful and LT David Bakhtiari will be a game time decision. Washington C Kory Lichtensteiger is expected back after missing 8 games while Matt Jones is unlikely but hasnt been ruled out. RB Alfred Morris should coming off of a 100 yard game against Dallas is expected to get the majority of the carries against Green Bay.