Note: If you’re looking for the 2015 Week 9 matchup between these two teams, please go here: Philadelphia Eagles Pick vs. Dallas Cowboys Pick.
Philadelphia Eagles (8-3 SU, 7-4 ATS) vs. Dallas Cowboys (8-3 SU, 6-5 ATS)
NFL Week 13
Date and Time: Thursday, November 27, 4:30pm EST
Where: AT&T Stadium – Arlington, Texas
TV: FOX
by Bob, Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: PHI +3/DAL -3
Over/Under Total: 55
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This Thursday, after having some turkey with the family, make yourself a good, cold drink and kick back and watch the Philadelphia Eagles travel into Dallas to take on the Cowboys. Both teams come into this NFC East contest at 8-3 overall and tied for first place in the division. Not only will a win in this game put the winner in position to take the division, but both of these teams are in the race for home field throughout the playoffs. This should be a great Thanksgiving Day showdown that could go either way.
The line opens with the Cowboys as a three point home favorite while the total points are set at 55. Against the spread this year, the Cowboys are 6-5, while the Eagles are a little better at 7-4. At this time, 60% of the action is sitting on the Cowboys, we will see if that remains the same as we get close to kickoff.
The Cowboys are finally a legit threat in the NFC. For many years, they had become the joke of the conference. Every year, they had high expectations, only to fall short and not make the playoffs. It is looking like a post season berth is all but in stone, but the Cowboys want a division title, not a wildcard. Winning this game will be the first step in the right direction. The biggest star in Dallas this season, has been running back DeMarco Murray. So far in 2014, Murray had already rushed for over 1,300 yards and scored seven rushing touchdowns. The success of the ground game this season has taken a lot of pressure off of Tony Romo and the more balanced attack is making the Cowboys a much more efficient offensive team. Dallas in ranked 2nd in the NFL in rushing, and 17th in passing. In six of the Cowboys eight wins, they have put up over 30 points. In the three losses, Dallas has only averaged 17 points. The Cowboys defense was predicted to be one of the worst in the league, and while they are not the best, they have done a decent job ranking 19th in pass defense and 13th in run defense. The key to this game for Dallas is just that too, play defense. Mark Sanchez is the starter in Philly now, and he has done well, but he is not ready to put a team on his back in a big game. If Dallas can slow down the Eagles run game, led by LeSean McCoy, while putting Philly in 3rd down and long situations, I can see it being a tough game for the Philadelphia offense
The Eagles, just like the Cowboys, come in at 8-3 overall. When quarterback, Nick Foles, broke his collarbone, many thought the Eagles offense would suffer. Well, not so fast. Mark Sanchez has stepped in and done a pretty good job filling in for Foles. Sanchez has already thrown for 1,187 yards and seven touchdowns, while throwing six interceptions. The letdown this season for Philly has been the production of running back, LeSean McCoy. Coming into this season, McCoy was considered by many to be one of the top two or three backs in the league. Through eleven games, “Shady” has gained 859 yards on the ground and scored just three rushing touchdowns. Now, before we start throwing the Ealges run game under the bus, I will say that the Chip Kelly offense is a pass first formula. If and when the Eagles will need a run game, it will be there, trust me. In order for the Eagles to win this game, they are going to need to make this game a shootout. Defensively, the Eagles are in the lower half of the NFL, but as long as they can get a couple of stops, I think the Philly offense can keep pace with the Cowboys.
The NFC East is one of the most competitive divisions year after year, and I love these Dallas and Philly games. You never know what to expect. Last season, the Eagles won the last game between these tow teams, but Dallas got the three games prior to that dating back to November of 2012. I see this game being a complete four quarter battle and whoever wins the turnover battle will win this game. I can see this one going either direction, and I am going to base my pick on defense. Neither team has a great defense, but I trust the Cowboys D to make more plays down the stretch. I like Dallas to win this game something like 27-23.
Bob’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: PICK THE DALLAS COWBOYS -3 POINTS AND UNDER THE POSTED TOTAL OF 55 POINTS