Our general opinion is that handicapping trends are for bettors who want to fill the sportsbook’s pockets. However there are some trends that are based on a bit of logic. One of the better betting trends is the after playing a certain divisional rival.
The theory is that after an emotional game against a team in their own division they may suffer a letdown in the following week or after a physically intense game they may be a little beat up going into their next match-up.
While as mentioned there is some logic to this handicapping trend we don’t recommend that you place a wager solely by this information. Instead use this information as one of the many handicapping tools that are required to make a profit betting the NFL.
Below we have listed the best and worst records of teams after playing a certain divisional opponent.
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| Matchup | ATS Record |
| Buffalo Bills after Miami Dolphins | 7-28 (20.0%) |
| Houston Texans after Jacksonville Jaguars |
2-8 (20.0%) |
| Jacksonville Jaguars after Indianapolis Colts |
3-8 (27.3%) |
| Arizona Cardinals after St Louis Rams | 6-11 (35.3%) |
| Dallas Cowboys after New York Giants | 11-17-3 (39.3%) |
| Detroit Lions after Green Bay Packers | 14-21 (40.0%) |
| San Francisco 49ers after Seattle Seahawks |
4-6 (40.0%) |
| Cincinnati Bengals after Baltimore Ravens |
13-19-2 (40.6%) |
| New York Jets after Miami Dolphins | 13-19-1 (40.6%) |
| Atlanta Falcons after Carolina Panthers | 9-13-1 (40.9%) |
| Denver Broncos after Kansas City Chiefs | 21-14 (60.0%) |
| Detroit Lions after Chicago Bears | 21-14 (60.0%) |
| Tennessee Titans after Jacksonville Jaguars |
14-9 (60.9%) |
| Chicago Bears after Green Bay Packers | 20-12-1 (62.5%) |
| Dallas Cowboys after Philadelphia Eagles | 22-13-1 (62.9%) |
| Pittsburgh Steelers after Cincinnati Bengals |
22-13 (62.9%) |
| Detroit Lions after Minnesota Vikings | 21-12-1 (63.6%) |
| Cincinnati Bengals after Cleveland Browns |
9-5-1 (64.3%) |
| San Francisco 49ers after Arizona Cardinals |
9-5-1 (64.3%) |
| Philadelphia Eagles after New York Giants |
20-11-2 (64.5%) |
| Carolina Panthers after New Orleans Saints |
13-6-1 (68.4%) |
| Indianapolis Colts after Tennessee Titans |
9-4 (69.2%) |
| Jacksonville Jaguars after Houston Texans |
7-3 (70.0%) |
| Oakland Raiders after New York Jets | 7-3 (70.0%) |
| Buffalo Bills after New England Patriots | 26-8-1 (76.5%) |
| Baltimore Ravens after Cleveland Browns | 11-3-1 (78.6%) |
| Cleveland Browns after Cincinnati Bengals |
12-3 (80.0%) |