New York Giants (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS) vs. Dallas Cowboys (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS)
NFL Week 7
Date and Time: October 19th, at 4:25 PM E
Where: AT&T Stadium
TV: FOX
by Jeff Hochman, Pro Football Handicapper, JHSportsline.com
Point Spread: NYG +6.5/ Dall -6.5
Over/Under Total: 48
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The Dallas Cowboys will play their first division game of the season, when the New York Giants visit Dallas fresh off an embarrassing loss. The Giants lost 27-0 as 1-point road underdogs to the Eagles on Sunday Night football. The loss put an end to the Giants three-game winning streak. New York allowed the Eagles to outgain them by 195 yards and are just 2-4 ITS (in the stats) this season) The Dallas Cowboys defeated the Seahawks 30-23 as 9.5-point road underdogs. The Cowboys outgained Seattle by 195 yards (season-high) and completely dominated at the line of scrimmage. The final score is not indicative of how Dallas dominated, as three Cowboy’ turnovers led to 17 points from the Seahawks.
This is a huge game for the road team as they be looking to get back in the thick of the NFC East race. The Giants should be confident knowing they are 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS as road underdogs against Dallas of late. That stat also sets up the underdog system we have been using all season with the Cowboys. The public is backing Dallas by 91% and this line might steam up to seven. They are jumping off the bandwagon after watching the Giants lay an egg last Sunday night. The Giants scored 30, 45, and 30 points during that 3-game win streak. I think they will be able to move the ball against Dallas. The Cowboys are allowing the exact amount of yards per play from last season. The difference is that this team is allowing fewer plays. The running game has been huge for the Cowboys, but I would recommend lightning the load as DeMarco Murray is carrying the ball way too much.
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These two teams have been on the opposite ends in Special Teams play. The Giants are ranked No. 19 while the Cowboys are ranked No.7. With this being a huge rivalry game, there will be no big surprises. The Giants are dealing with some injuries on offense. With Victor Cruz now out for the rest of season, first-round draft pick Odell Beckham Jr. takes over that starting receiver spot. The Giants ground game could get a boost with the return Rashad Jennings. The Giants should copy the Cowboys’ game plan all season. Run early and often to help set-up the pass. Those play-action sets in the second half will gain significant yardage. Dallas has done a good job on defense as they are flying to the ball with enormous passion from what we saw last year. Dallas is coming off a physical game and the odds-makers are just begging you take Dallas. Looks like a trap to me.
The Giants are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a SU loss. The Underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The Cowboys are 13-6 SU and 6-13 ATS as home favorites over the last three seasons. The Giants are 7-3 ATS in October over the last three seasons.
Jeff’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: New York Giants +6.5
The Underdog is now 22-5 ATS in the last 27 Cowboy games. Lets ride it to the bank!