Monday Night Football Picks

Monday Night Football: Weekly Picks and Predictions

Each week of the professional football season, Kevin West brings you his top MNF picks, primarily focusing on spread picks grounded in meticulous analysis. Keep an eye out for:

• Spread Picks: Kevin’s expert analysis on the most promising spread picks to guide your MNF bets.
• Moneyline: Occasionally, when the situation warrants, we venture into the money line territory to bring you the best bets with the highest chance of cashing.
• Over/Under Totals: Rich Crew stops by occasionally to offer his exclusive total play, providing a fresh perspective on over/under totals.
• Prop Bets: These are the easiest bets to beat! We do have to lay some juice from time to time though!

Check back every week for West’s Monday Night Football picks offering the latest tips, advice and strategy to help you beat the bookies!

2024 YTD: 3-4-0 +0.60 Units

Date: 10/28/24
Capper: Kevin West
Bet: This game has me stumped. I have to pass!

Date: 10/21/24
Handicapper: Kevin West
MNF Pick: Baltimore Ravens -4 (***3 Unit BEST BET!***)(Won 41-31)
Analysis: The Bucs like to pressure quarterbacks. This should fail miserably against Lamar Jackson, who is playing A+ football right now. Bucs NT Vita Vea is banged up with a hamstring, which will put even more pressure on the Bucs. Derrick Henry should have a day as well. Lastly, the Bucs run game sucks and will have a hard time against a really stout Ravens front line.

Date: 10/14/24
Handicapper: Kevin West
MNF Pick: New York Jets +1.5. (Lost 20-23 – 2 Doinked FG’s! UGH!)
Reasons: The Jets should be able to run on the Bills. Buffalo should struggle to pass against the nasty Jets corners.

Date: 10/7/24
Capper: Kevin West
Wager Recommendation: KC Chiefs on the money line at -230 (Won 26-13)
Why?: The Saints have multiple offensive linemen out as well as a pair of key linebackers. They haven’t looked the same since they lost their starting center.

Date: 9/30/24 (Week 4)
Handicapper: Kevin West
MNF Pick: Seattle Seahawks/Detroit Lions UNDER 47 points. (Lost 29-42)

Date: 9/23/24 (Week 3)
Handicapper: Kevin West
Pick: Jaguars WR Gabriel Davis to go OVER 37.5 yards on Monday Night Football. (This prop bet can be found at Bovada Sportsbook). There’s a lot to like here! The Jags are projected to be playing from behind, which means more pass attempts. Davis caught 3 balls for 44 yards last week, but more interesting than that is that he had 7 targets. The Jags are once again expected to be without TE Evan Engram. I’m not a big believer in revenge games, but it doesn’t hurt that the Bills are Davis’s former team, which should create some nice motivation to separate from Buffalo’s corners. (Lost with 18 yards. Davis had 6 targets and Lawrence was constantly missing him.)

Date: 9/16/24 (Week 2)
Handicapper: Kevin West
Bet: Atlanta Falcons +5.5. The Falcons didn’t look great in Week 1. This has lead to oddsmakers building an inflated line based on recency bias. The Falcons are a good team. They just didn’t play well in Week 1 because the Pittsburgh Steelers D is a top-3 defense. Lots of teams are going to struggle against Pittsburgh! It wouldn’t surprise me at all if they win this game straight up. If they lose, I’m betting it won’t be by more than three points. Similar to the Packers and Vikings point spreads this week, this too is a sucker bet line. (Won 22-21 straight up!)

Date: 9/9/24 (Week 1)
Handicapper: Kevin West
Bet: New York Jets +4. The 49ers enter the season with a bunch of injuries to key players. The Jets are much improved this season. It wouldn’t surprise me to see the NYJ win this game straight up. (Lost 19-32)

2023 YTD: 6-4-0 +1.60 Units

Date: 1/15/24
Handicapper: Kevin West
Bet: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3. The Eagles look like a team that wants to go home. They’re banged up on both sides of the ball and their “funk”, appears to be much more than that. Something is wrong with this team and they’ve quit. I think the Bucs win the game straight up. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense is often times challenged. This could be a very ugly game. Keep a bottle of Pepto Bismol close by!

Date: 12/18
Capper: Kevin West
Wager: I’m passing this week. I don’t have a clue how this game turns out. There’s injuries to key players on both teams, making this matchup tough to figure out. For what it’s worth, the line was Philly -4.5 and has dropped to -3.5. Most bettors are backing the Eagles. This denotes sharp action on the Seattle side.

Date: 12/11
Handicapper: Kevin West
Bet: New York Giants +7 (Buying a point -135)(Won straight up 24-22)

Date: 12/4/23
Capper: Kevin West
Play: Jaguars RB D’Ernest Johnson to go OVER 28.5 rushing/receiving yards combined. (Lost with 9 – The Jags never got the lead we expected so his role was crap) He should see a bunch of action and have good production tonight with Etienne having banged up ribs, the Jags playing with a lead and Cinci’s defense being so horrible. I’m not posting it as a play, but I made a lunch money bet at +1000 on Johnson to have the most rushing yards in the game as well. Could happen!

Date: 11/27/23
Handicapper: Kevin West
Bet: Chicago Bears +3 (Won 12-10)

Date: 11/20/23
Handicapper: Kevin West
Pick: Philadelphia Eagles +3 (Bought a half point -126)(Won 21-17)

Date: 11/13/23
Handicapper: Kevin West
Pick Bills WR Gabe Davis to go OVER 39.5 receiving yards (-115)(Winner with 56!)

Date: 11/6/23
Handicapper: Kevin West
Pick Jets running back Breece Hall to go OVER 2.5 receptions (-185)(Easy winner – Went over in first quarter!) The Jets are expected to be playing from behind, which makes this a strong play, as they’ll need to pass to stay in the game. New York’s offensive line is really bad, so they’ll need to throw short passes/screens to Hall to get him involved. I was surprised to see this line so low. I was expecting it to be around 4.5, so am ecstatic to be betting into a 2.5 line!

Date: 10/30/23
Handicapper: Kevin West
Pick Raiders tight end Michael Mayer to go OVER 2.5 receptions. (Lost) The coaching staff has publicly stated they want to get him more involved in the offense. The Lions don’t guard the tight end position well and have allowed the third most receptions and yards. I expect the Raiders to be playing from behind, so we should see a bunch of second half passing from Vegas.

Date: 10/23/23
Handicapper: Kevin West
Pick: I forgot to post here! Hopefully you got it off our free picks page or NFL props page. It was a winner (McCloud over 1.5 receptions) but won’t be posted as a win here. Ugh!

Date: 10/16/23
Handicapper:
Play: Passing

Date: 10/9/23
Handicapper: Kevin West
Pick: Raidas -2.5 (Won 17-13)

Date: 10/2/23
Handicapper: Kevin West
Pick: New York Giants +2.5 (Lost 3-24)

Date: 9/25/23 (Week 3)
Handicapper: Kevin West
Pick: Passing. We don’t like any sides or totals from either game.

Date: 9/18/23 (Week 2)
Handicapper: Kevin West
Pick: Cleveland Browns -2.5. (Brutal Loss – Nick Chubb was running wild and went down with a knee injury. Watson played like absolute garbage. Steelers didn’t have an offensive possession in the redzone for the whole game. Absolute disaster!) The Browns are in a nice spot here with what appears to be an extremely strong offensive line matched up against a Pittsburgh defensive line missing run-stopper Cam Heyward. The Niners absolutely gashed the Steelers on the ground after Heywards departure. Pittsburgh features weak corners as well, as Patrick Peterson is 33-years old and Levi Wallace is weak. Amari Cooper is banged up and his status is in question, but it won’t matter, as I project Cleveland to get most of their work done on the ground. When the Deshaun Watson does take to the air, Peoples-Jones and Elijah Moore are plenty good to beat coverage. Moore was a very under-used receiver that never really fit in with the Jets. He’s an excellent route runner and has enough bounce to separate. On the flip side, Kenny Pickett is likely to struggle against a Browns defensive line featuring monsters Garrett, Tomlinson and Smith. This game could be a repeat of what happened last week against SF. The Niners and Browns have very similar builds. I don’t think it’ll be a monster blowout, as divisional games tend to bring out the best in players, but this game is a mismatch on paper which should translate to a cover for Cleveland, who I believe could win this game by double-digits.

Be sure to check out our Weekly NFL Prop Picks page as well!