Los Angeles Rams vs. Dallas Cowboys Betting Pick

Los Angeles Rams (3-4 SU, 4-2-1 ATS) vs. Dallas Cowboys (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS)

Week 8 NFL Football

Date/Time: Sunday, October 29th, 2023 at 1:00 PM (EST)

Where: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX

TV: FOX

Betting Odds:

Point Spread: LAR +7 / DAL -7

Moneyline: LAR +240 / DAL -280

Total: 46

Last week, the Dallas Cowboys got back in the “W” column with a hard-fought 20-17 victory over the Los Angeles Chargers. The victory moved the Cowboys to 4-2 SU and 4-2 ATS on the season. Despite all of the criticism in recent weeks aimed at QB Dak Prescott and Head Coach Mike McCarthy, the Cowboys are still in a good position to make a run at the NFC East. If Dallas can get another victory at home this weekend against the Los Angeles Rams, it will set up a monumental showdown with the Eagles in week 9 for control of the division!

The visiting Los Angeles Rams suffered a somewhat surprising defeat to the Pittsburgh Steelers last week in a 24-17 loss. Despite a strong afternoon from WR Puka Nacua, who recorded 8 catches for 154 yards, the rest of the Rams’ offense was held in check. QB Matthew Stafford had a disappointing afternoon, hitting just 14 of 29 passing for 231 yards with 1 touchdown and 1 pick. Star WR Cooper Kupp was held to his lowest production of the season with 2 catches for 29 yards. Not to mention, the Rams seemed to abandon the running game despite both Royce Freeman and Darrell Henderson showing positive signs in Kyren Williams’ absence. Needless to say, the Rams have a lot to clean up on the offensive side of the football, and this week’s match-up against the Dallas defense will be very challenging!

Los Angeles Rams vs. Dallas Cowboys Betting Analysis

Despite losing CB Trevon Diggs earlier this year, the Dallas Cowboys’ defense is still graded as the 2nd best defense in the NFL according to PFF. The defensive unit has allowed just 288 yards per game and has been excellent towards creating a relentless pass rush to frustrate opposing quarterbacks. Based on the style of football the Rams play with QB Matthew Stafford, this has a feast or famine recipe. In the secondary, the Cowboys have been a little overrated in coverage, and if the pass-rush does not get home, then there will be big opportunities for Nacua and Kupp in the passing game.

The problem with that scenario is that the Rams have been absolutely terrible in pass-blocking scenarios on the season. McVay’s unwavering philosophy to avoid the running attack, even when it’s working, allows defenses to pin their ears back on a consistent basis, and I expect that to be the case again on Sunday. For the Cowboys offense, this is a solid challenge against the Rams’ defense, but nothing overwhelmingly difficult. Despite the criticism, QB Dak Prescott has done a great job at protecting the football this season, but the play calling has not shown much ingenuity. With RB Tony Pollard and WR CeeDee Lamb, the Cowboys have weapons but don’t be surprised if we see another mediocre performance from this Dallas offense!

Los Angeles Rams vs. Dallas Cowboys Betting Trends

• The Rams are 5-13 SU in the last 18 games.
• The Rams are 2-8 SU in the last 10 games on the road.
• The Rams have hit the “under” in 4 of the last 5 games.
• The Rams are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 games on the road at Dallas.
• The Cowboys are 4-2 ATS in the last 6 games.
• The Cowboys are 11-5 SU in the last 16 games.
• The Cowboys have hit the “under” in 7 of the last 10 games.
• The Cowboys are 10-0 SU in the last 10 games at home.

Los Angeles Rams vs. Dallas Cowboys Betting Prediction

I believe last week’s game against the Chargers was a template of how the Cowboys are going to continue this season. They are going to have conservative play-calling and try to execute high percentage throws and allow the defense to give them opportunities. I believe this week’s match-up against the Rams is going to be another defensive match-up on both sides and believe we are getting solid value on the under!

Jay’s Pick: Take the under 46