Kansas City Chiefs (1-4 SU, 1-4 ATS) vs. Minnesota Vikings (2-2 SU, 3-1 ATS)
NFL Week 6
Date/Time: Sunday, October 18th, 1:00pm
Where: TCF Bank Stadium Minneapolis, MN
TV: CBS
by Bob, NFL Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: KC +4 / MIN -4
Over/Under Total: 44
This Sunday, the 18th, at 1:00pm there will be an AFC/NFC showdown when the Kansas City Chiefs travel to take on the Minnesota Vikings. Kansas City comes in at a disappointing 1-4 while the Vikings are .500 at 2-2 and have played about as average as you can in 2015. Currently, Kansas City is last place in the AFC West while Minnesota is hanging on to a dream sitting at second place in the NFC North behind the unbeaten Green Bay Packers. Many years ago, these two teams met in the Super Bowlthat probably will not happen this year, but, you never know. Okay, I know, they arent. But lets go ahead and break down this game.
The Vikings come in as a four point home favorite over the Chiefs while the total points are set at 44. As of Tuesday night, 70% of the betting action was on the Vikings to cover the four points and about 56% of people think this game will stay under the 44. The Chiefs are 0-4 against the spread in their last four games. Minnesota has covered the spread in every game this season with the exception of that horrendous season opener in San Francisco. I do believe that Kansas City is a better team than their record, but they are 1-4 for a reason. Can they go on the road and get a much needed win?
I had faith in Kansas City before the season started. I did not have them as a Super Bowl contender or anything, but I figured with Alex Smith, Jamaal Charles, and a pretty decent defense, they would go somewhere around 8-8 or 9-7, depending on the rest of the division. I mean they could still get back on the winning track, but now it will be even more difficult since running back Jamaal Charles is now out for the season. The Chiefs will now rely on the play of Charcandrick West and Kniles Davis to hold down the run game. Davis last season played pretty well and in many fantasy leagues was the free agent pick up of the season. Of course, Jamaal Charles is a premier player, but I believe the Chiefs running game will remain in tact with these two guys sharing the load. Now, onto the other elements of this Chiefs team. First and foremost, I stated earlier that I believe this Chiefs team is better than the 1-4 they boast. Check out the losses they have so far this season: Broncos, Packers, Bengals, and Bears. Ummmm three of those four losses are against undefeated teams. The Chiefs were not exactly lucky when it came to their schedule in 2015. They already play in a division with Denver so that is two tough games there, then to draw the Bengals and Packerssheesh. Kansas City will have to improve in some areas in order to go on the road and win this weekend. They currently rank 21st in the NFL in passing yards, 18th in rushing (and we already discussed the run game), and 29th in points allowed. The key to this game is defense. Kansas City cannot let Adrian Peterson and Teddy Bridgewater to get comfortable and dictate the game. If they do, then I see Minnesota running away with it. Now, if the defense can pressure Bridgewater, who is still a young and learning QB, they can force him into some mistakes. This would make things much easier for the Chiefs offense and easy scores and good field position is almost a must in this one.
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Minnesota like I already mentioned have a young QB in Teddy Bridgewater. It does appear that he will be a pretty solid player for years to come, but he is still a second year player and mistakes can and will happen to these guys once the league gets more tape on them. So far in 2015, Teddy has been less than stellar. Through four games he has only passed for 774 yards and two scores. There are also two interceptions to go along with the two touchdowns he tossed. Averaging just 165 yards passing a game, the Vikings rank dead last in the NFL. However, the running game, led by Adrian Peterson and his three touchdowns ranks second in the league. If the Vikings though plan to have any success this season and have any desire to get on a win streak and make a playoff or wild card push, they must become more balanced. Teams are already beginning the stack the box and force the Vikings to try and win with the arm of Bridgewater. If this continues, I can see the Vikings with a top five pick in the 2016 NFL draft. This must improve to have any shot not only to cover the four points this weekend, but to win the game at all.
Maybe I am wrong, but I for the life of me do not see how the Vikings can be favored by four points over anyoneand I mean anyone. They just arent a very good team. Yeah, they are at home playing a 1-4 team, but name me 10 other teams in the NFL that would have a much better record after facing the schedule the Chiefs haveyea, I didnt think so. Listen, the Chiefs are going to win this game. I like Kansas City to go into Minnesota and not just win, but win easily. I predict the Chiefs win this game 24-13 and improve to 2-4.
Bobs Pick to Cover the Point Spread: PICK THE KANSAS CITY CHIEFS +4!
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