Jets vs. Cards Spread Pick | Week 10 Predictions

by | Last updated Nov 8, 2024 | nfl

New York Jets (3-6 SU, 3-6 ATS) at Arizona Cardinals (5-4 SU, 6-3 ATS)
When: Sunday, November 10th at 4:25 PM ET
Where: State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ
TV: CBS

Betting Odds
Spread: NYJ +1 / AZ -1
Total: 46 Over/Under

The Arizona Cardinals carry a three-game winning streak into their Sunday afternoon inter-conference matchup against the New York Jets, who just snapped a five-game losing skid. Arizona, now leading the NFC West, looks to extend its lead, while the Jets, teetering on the brink of playoff contention, are desperate for a win to stay in the hunt. Let’s see if the Cardinals can keep up their momentum or if the Jets can mount a comeback on the road.

NFL Betting Odds

The betting market opened with Arizona as a -1.5 favorite, but early action shifted the line slightly to -1. The total sits at 46.

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Jets Betting Preview

The Jets ended their five-game slide last Thursday with a 21-13 win over Houston. Despite trailing 7-0 at halftime, New York’s offense came alive in the second half, with three consecutive touchdown drives. While they were out-gained by Houston (322-293) and lost the time of possession battle (34:26), the Jets recorded eight sacks and benefited from two missed field goals by the Texans.

New York has shown flashes of competitiveness, out-gaining five of their last seven opponents but struggling on the ground, being out-rushed by five of their last six foes. Despite starting 2-1, the Jets hit a rough patch, dropping five straight games, though four of those losses were by a combined 13 points. At 3-6, they sit two games behind 5-4 Denver for the AFC’s No. 7 playoff spot. However, with a season win total set at 9.5, they would need an improbable seven wins from their final eight games to exceed expectations.

Cardinals Betting Preview

Meanwhile, Arizona is riding high on a three-game win streak, most recently securing a 29-9 victory over Chicago. Leading only 14-9 late in the second quarter, the Cardinals extended their lead with a 53-yard touchdown run by RB Demercado. The Cardinals out-gained the Bears 350-241 and dominated on the ground, rushing for 213 yards to Chicago’s 69.

Arizona has faced one of the toughest schedules in the league, according to Sagarin’s ratings, which further underscores their solid 5-4 record. Following a 1-3 start, Arizona has rebounded with key wins over the Chargers and Dolphins, both secured by last-second field goals. The Cardinals now lead the NFC West and need just two more wins to surpass their season win total of 6.5.

On the injury front, New York lists three starting offensive linemen as questionable for Sunday’s game, which could impact their offensive rhythm and protection.

The last time these teams met, four years ago, the Cardinals won 30-10, with QB Kyler Murray throwing for 380 yards against Joe Flacco’s Jets.

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NFL Betting Trends

  • Home teams are 70-64 SU and 59-73 ATS this season.
  • Favorites, who went 14-1 SU and 10-4 ATS last week, are 97-41 SU and 75-61 ATS on the season.

Totals Report

  • Totals are 4-4-1 in Jets games, averaging 39 points per game.
  • Totals are also 4-4-1 in Cardinals games, averaging 47 points per game.
  • Overs are 72-65 across the NFL this season.

Touchdown Props

  • Jets WR Gipson is listed at +700 to score a touchdown.
  • Cardinals TE McBride, who leads the team in targets (60) but has yet to score, is +170 to catch one touchdown and +900 for two.
  • The “first score” TD/FG ratio this season stands at 81/56.

Free NFL Betting Pick

Arizona has built a 5-4 record against a tough schedule, while the Jets’ 3-6 record came against a more moderate slate. Cardinals QB Kyler Murray’s playmaking ability gives Arizona a clear edge, especially considering the Jets’ struggles to stop the run and protect their quarterback. With Arizona out-rushing opponents by 17 yards per game and New York being out-rushed by 45, the Cardinals are well-positioned to control the game tempo. Teams that win the ground battle this season are 96-42 SU and 91-45 ATS. We like the Cardinals to cover on Sunday.