Indianapolis Colts vs. Cincinnati Bengals Prediction ATS Week 14
Game Details:
Date: Sunday, December 10, 2023
Time: 1:00 pm ET
Where: Paycor Stadium
TV: CBS
Betting odds
Point Spread: Ind -1.5/Cin +1.5
Money line: Indy -120/Cinci +100
Total: 43.5
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Two teams coming off big overtime victories meet when the Bengals host the Colts for a key game in the AFC wild-card race Sunday afternoon.
Indianapolis just extended a winning streak to four in a row with an OT win at Tennessee last week while Cincinnati just snapped a three-game losing skid with an OT triumph at Jacksonville.
Now, who’s got more left in the tank for Sunday?
NFL Betting Odds
The Week 14 NFL betting market opened with the Colts as one-point road favorites for Sunday, with an over/under of around 41.5. Early betting action has moved the spread to 1.5 points and the total to 43.5.
Colts-Bengals Betting Preview
Indianapolis enters this game on a four-game winning streak, securing an overtime victory against Tennessee last week with a final score of 31-28. Despite trailing 17-7 in the second quarter and facing challenges on third downs and in the red zone, the Colts managed to win in overtime with a 75-yard drive ending in a touchdown.
The Colts were without RB Jonathan Taylor but benefited from special teams, including a blocked punt returned for a TD, which played a crucial role in their victory. After losing three consecutive games earlier in the season, Indianapolis has bounced back with four straight wins.
With a 7-5 record, the Colts are currently tied with three other teams for the 5th to 8th spots in the AFC playoff standings.
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Cincinnati ended a three-game losing streak with a thrilling 34-31 overtime victory against Jacksonville on Monday night. Despite starting as 10-point underdogs and with Jake Browning at QB, the Bengals rallied to win, accumulating 471 yards of offense with Browning throwing for 354 yards and a score.
Cincinnati started the season 1-3, then won four straight games to reach 5-3. However, they faced a setback when QB Joe Burrow was injured, but backup Jake Browning showed promise in their recent win.
With a 6-6 record, Cincinnati is one game behind the four-way tie at 7-5 in the AFC.
The last meeting between these teams occurred three seasons ago, resulting in a 31-27 Colts home win. Philip Rivers was the quarterback for Indianapolis, and Joe Burrow played for the Bengals.
Common Opponents
These two teams have played six common opponents this season: the Jaguars, Texans, Ravens, Rams, Titans, and Browns. Indianapolis played against these opponents with a record of 4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS, and an average of +5 yards per game. In contrast, Cincinnati played these opponents with a record of 2-5 SU, 1-5-1 ATS, and an average of -99 yards per game.
NFL Betting Trends
The Colts have a record of 5-3 SU and 6-2 ATS with Gardner Minshew as the starting QB this season.
Totals Report
- The Over has hit in 8 of the Colts’ games this season, with an average of 50 total points.
- The totals are evenly split at 6-6 in Bengals games, which are averaging 43 points.
- While the Over prevailed in 9 of the NFL games last week, for the season, the Unders have dominated with a record of 109-84.
Free NFL Betting Pick
Indianapolis is playing winning football with Minshew at QB and an opportunistic defense. Cincinnati ranks last in the League in rushing and total defense. The Colts also have a better performance against common opponents. While both teams are coming off significant victories last week, Indianapolis appears to be the more consistent team, making Cincinnati more susceptible to a letdown. In this spot, we favor the Colts.