Houston Texans vs Minnesota Vikings Odds, Picks, and Prop Bets
When: 1 pm ET Sunday, Sept. 22
Where: US Bank Stadium
TV: CBS
Texans vs Vikings Betting Odds
NFL betting odds: Houston -2.5 / Minnesota +2.5
Money line: Houston -140 / Minnesota +120
Over/Under: 46
NFL Week 3 Game Overview
A couple of 2-0 teams clash when the Houston Texans take on the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday afternoon in Minneapolis.
It’s no surprise the Texans are 2-0 after last year’s strong performance, with wins over the Colts and Bears. However, the Vikings’ 2-0 start is more surprising, considering their shaky finish last season. Who will move on to 3-0?
Texans vs. Vikings Betting Lines
The Week 3 NFL betting market opened Houston at -3.5 on the road for Sunday, with an O/U of right around 46.5. Early betting action then dipped that spread from one side of that key number to the other, down to 2.5.
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Texans Betting Preview
Houston is 2-0 after defeating the Bears 19-13 on Sunday night. The Texans led 16-10 at halftime and held on for the victory, though a late Bears field goal resulted in a push on the six-point spread.
The Texans outgained the Bears 310-205. QB Stroud threw for 260 yards, which fell under the 265.5 yard prop, and RB Mixon ran for only 25 yards before suffering an ankle injury, also falling under his 69.5 yard prop.
In Week 1, Houston opened the season with a 29-27 win over Indianapolis, running for 213 yards. After winning 10 games last season, the Texans’ wins total is set at 9.5 for 2024.
Vikings Betting Preview
Minnesota is also 2-0 after beating the 49ers 23-17 as 4-point home underdogs. A goal-line stand set up a 97-yard Darnold-to-Jefferson touchdown, and the Vikings extended their lead to 20-7, holding on to beat San Francisco for the second year in a row.
The Vikings out-rushed the 49ers 146-102, blocked a punt, and recorded six sacks. Darnold threw for 268 yards, hitting the over on his 233.5-yard prop. Minnesota is playing against a wins total of 6.5 this season after finishing with seven wins last year.
Prop Bets
Houston WR Tank Dell, targeted 11 times in two games, is +190 to score a touchdown.
Houston RB Cam Akers, who may get more touches if Mixon is limited, is +250 to score a touchdown.
Minnesota TE Johnny Mundt, potentially seeing more targets, is +400 to score a touchdown.
Recent History & Betting Trends
Minnesota is 5-0 all-time against Houston, with their most recent win four seasons ago, a 31-23 victory.
Some notable trends:
- Home teams are 16-15 SU and 13-17 ATS this season.
- Favorites are 21-11 SU and 14-17 ATS this season.
- Home dogs are 2-6 SU and 4-4 ATS this season.
Totals Report
Totals are split 1-1 in Texans games this season, which are averaging 44 total points. The under went 10-7 in Vikings games last season and is 2-0 this season, with Minnesota games averaging just 37 points. NFL unders are 17-14 this season.
Free NFL Betting Pick
While Darnold has been impressive so far this season, our pick leans towards Stroud and the Texans. With Mixon and Jefferson potentially slowed, Mixon’s production is more replaceable than Jefferson’s. Houston also has a slight edge on defense. Given the line movement, we’re taking Houston -2.5.
