Green Bay Packers at Carolina Panthers Pick & Predictions 12/24/23

Green Bay Packers (6-8 SU, 7-7 ATS) vs. Carolina Panthers (2-12 SU, 4-9-1 ATS)

NFL Football Week 16

Date/Time: Sunday December 24th, 2023. 1:00 PM (EST)

Where: Bank of America Stadium Charlotte, NC

TV: FOX

Betting Odds:

Point Spread: GB -4.5/CAR +4.5

Moneyline: Pack -225/Cats +210

Total: 36.5

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The Green Bay Packers dropped their 2nd straight game last week in a 34-20 home loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. At 6-8 SU, the Packers have forfeited what once appeared to be an inevitable playoff appearance. Following the two-game losing skid, the Packers will likely need to win their final three games to secure a playoff position. Luckily, Green Bay has one of the easiest remaining schedules in the league with upcoming games against Carolina, Minnesota, and Chicago. On Sunday, the Packers will attempt to turn their momentum with an optimal match-up against the Carolina Panthers at Bank of America Stadium.

While the Panthers have been an easy win on most opponents’ schedules, they were able to pick up their 2nd victory of the season last week against the Atlanta Falcons. The Panthers overcame disastrous weather conditions to beat Atlanta in a rain-soaked contest that produced just 16 combined points between both teams. The win helped Carolina knock Atlanta out of 1st place in the NFC South and also awarded interim Head Coach Chris Tabor his first career victory. While the Panthers still have big issues from an organizational standpoint, this team has been competitive since the firing of Head Coach Frank Reich and is 2-1 ATS in the 3 games under the new leadership.

Green Bay Packers vs. Carolina Panthers Betting Analysis

In terms of match-up perspectives, the Panthers are still really bad on the offensive side of the football. QB Bryce Young has not thrown a passing touchdown since early November. On the season, Young has produced nine touchdowns with an equal number of interceptions. As a result, the Panthers have relied heavily on the run game to give the team the best opportunity to win. RB Chubba Hubbard has had at least 22 carries in each of the last three games. While Carolina’s run-game has been mediocre at best overall, the run game has incapacitated clock time and given the defense better opportunities to stay off the field, which is something that was not happening earlier in the year.

Despite the gloomy outlook for Carolina’s offense, Green Bay’s defense does not shut the door on the potential for another Panthers’ upset. The Packers’ defense was shredded for over 200 yards against the New York Giants in Week 14 and then gave up 452 total yards in last week’s 34-20 loss to the Buccaneers. Simply put, the Green Bay defense has to play better if they are going to have any possibility of running the table and capturing a playoff spot. Despite the defensive concerns, QB Jordan Love has played well on the offensive side of the football despite a non-existent running threat. Love should have another ideal match-up this Sunday and could get a big lift with the return of WR Christian Watson, who is inching closer to his return.

Green Bay Packers vs. Carolina Panthers Betting Trends

• The Packers have hit the “over” in five of the last seven games.
• The Packers are 1-5 SU in the last six games on the road.
• The Packers are 2-5 ATS in the last seven games against Carolina.
• The Packers are also 8-4 SU in the last 12 games against Carolina.
• The Panthers are 4-8 ATS in the last 12 games.
• The Panthers have hit the “under” in seven of the last eight games.
• The Panthers are 1-6 SU in the last seven games.
• The Panthers have hit the “over” in seven of the last nine games against Green Bay.

Green Bay Packers vs. Carolina Panthers Betting Prediction

I’m expecting Green Bay to put a lot of focus and attention on their defense this week in a confidence-building match-up. However, Carolina’s defense is underrated, and this will not be a cakewalk for the Packers’ offense. In fact, the Panthers have hit the “under” in each of the last 6 games at home. I have high confidence that the trend will stay intact this weekend!

Jay/s Pick: Take the under 36.5