Giants vs. Steelers Predictions: Expert Picks for Monday Night Football

by | Last updated Oct 29, 2024 | nfl

Russell Wilson & Justin Fields QBs Pittsbugh Steelers
Date: October 28, 2024
Time: 8:15 PM ET
Venue: Acrisure Stadium
Records: Giants (2-5) at Steelers (5-2)

Current Odds

Spread: Steelers -6 (-110)
Total: 36.5
Moneyline: Giants +225, Steelers -275

The Rundown

This Monday night matchup features two teams heading in opposite directions. The Giants are coming off a dismal 3-28 loss to Philadelphia where they allowed 8 sacks and showed serious offensive line issues. Meanwhile, the Steelers have won two straight, scoring 30+ points in both games as they sit atop the AFC North.

Key Statistical Matchups

  • Giants Scoring: 14.1 PPG (30th in NFL)
  • Steelers Defense: 14.4 PPG allowed (2nd in NFL)
  • Giants Sacks Allowed: 3.1 per game (26th)
  • Giants Rush Defense: 81.0 YPG (2nd)

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Team Analysis

New York Giants

The Giants’ offensive struggles have been profound in 2024. They’ve scored over 21 points just once this season and have been held to single digits three times. Their offensive line remains a major concern, particularly with their backup left tackle struggling. However, their defense has been a bright spot, allowing just 21 points per game and leading the league in sacks per game.

Pittsburgh Steelers

Pittsburgh’s offense has found its rhythm, posting consecutive 30+ point games. Their passing attack has improved significantly, averaging 7.6 yards per attempt with a strong 6:1 TD-to-INT ratio over their last six games. The defense remains stout, particularly against the run, allowing just 81.0 yards per game (2nd in NFL).

Defensive Matchup

The defensive battle heavily favors Pittsburgh, particularly against New York’s struggling offense:

  • Giants: 4.7 yards per play (30th)
  • Steelers Defense: 5.4 yards allowed per play (8th)
  • Giants Completion %: 61.4% (28th)
  • Steelers Pass Defense: 78.3 QB rating allowed (7th)
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Trends to Watch

  • Giants are 1-6 on the Over/Under this season
  • Steelers are 5-2 ATS this season
  • Giants are 0-4 at home but 2-1 on the road
  • Steelers are 3-4 on Over/Under this season

X-Factor Analysis

The Giants’ pass rush versus Pittsburgh’s mobile quarterbacks will be crucial. While New York leads the league in sacks per game, Pittsburgh’s quarterback mobility has helped them limit sacks despite pressure. The Giants’ ability to convert this pressure into actual sacks could determine the game’s pace and scoring.

The Bottom Line

Score Prediction: Steelers 20, Giants 10

Best Bets (Ranked by Confidence)

  1. UNDER 36.5 (-110) – Primary Play
    • Giants averaging just 14.1 PPG
    • 1-6 on Overs this season
    • Steelers defense allowing just 14.4 PPG
  2. Steelers -6 (-110) – Secondary Play
    • Giants offensive line issues against strong defense
    • Steelers 5-2 ATS this season

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