Eagles vs. Commanders Betting Preview & Predictions

by | Last updated Oct 26, 2023 | nfl

Philadelphia Eagles (6-1 SU, 4-2-1 ATS) at Washington Commanders (3-4, 3-4)

Date/Time: Sunday, Oct. 29, 1 pm ET

Where: FedEx Field

TV: Fox

NFL Betting Odds:

Point Spread: Phil -6.5 / Wash +6.5

Moneyline: Phil -290 / Wash +240

Total: 44

The Eagles hold the upper hand in the recent rivalry with the Commanders, but most recent meetings played close, including an overtime thriller earlier this season. Washington will try to keep things close again when these rivals meet for the 179th time Sunday afternoon in Landover.

NFL Betting Lines

The Week 8 NFL betting market opened Philadelphia at -6.5 over Washington, with an over/under of right around 44. Both figures were holding steady in the early betting action.

Eagles-Commanders NFL Betting Preview

Philadelphia just bounced back from that loss to the Jets two weeks ago to beat Miami last Sunday night 31-17. The Eagles jumped out to a 17-3 lead in the second quarter, only to allow the Dolphins to tie it at 17-17 in the third. But Philadelphia then scored the final 14 points to win and cover at -3.

The Eagles out-gained Miami 355-244 and dominated time of possession by a 37:23 split.

Philadelphia opened this season 5-0, then blew a double-digit halftime lead and lost to the Jets 20-14. So last week’s win over the Dolphins fit in nicely with our “bounce back/letdown” line of thinking when handicapping NFL games.

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Meanwhile, Washington is just 1-4 its last five times out after falling at the Giants last Sunday 14-7. The Commanders, favored by three points for some reason, trailed 14-0 at the half, pulled within one score early in the third quarter, but got nothing else from there, as their last-gasp effort ended at the New York 7-yard line.

Washington got out-gained by the Giants 356-273, converted just 1/15 on 3rd downs, and gave up six sacks.

Washington started 2-0 this season, then lost three games in a row, including a 40-20 decision against Chicago. The Commanders then won at Atlanta before losing to New York. So last week’s Washington game also fit into our “bounce back/letdown” theory.

Eagles-Commanders Recent History

Philadelphia is 4-1 SU but only 1-3-1 ATS over the last five meetings with Washington, favored by too much too often. Back in Week 4 of this season in Philly, the Eagles outlasted the Commanders 34-31 in overtime but couldn’t cover at -10.

NFL Betting Trends

Through Week 7 NFL home dogs are 18-26 SU, 22-20-2 ATS this season.

Totals Report

The unders are 4-3 in Eagles games this season, which are averaging 47 total points.

The unders are also 4-3 in Commanders games, which are also averaging 47 points.

Through Week 7, the unders are 65-41 in the NFL this season.

Free NFL Betting Pick

Nearly everything points toward Philadelphia here and they should win this game outright. But Washington gave the Eagles a very tough game earlier this season and won the second meeting between these teams last season. Also, Philadelphia might be ripe for a bit of a letdown this week, following a big effort on a big stage last week, while the Commanders might be ready to bounce back after giving a poor performance last week. We’ll take Washington plus the points.

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