Dallas Cowboys (5-4 SU, 7-2 ATS) vs. New Orleans Saints (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS)
NFL Week 10
Date and Time: Sunday Night Football, November 10, 8:30pm
Where: Mercedes-Benz Superdome
TV: NBC
by Bob, Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: DAL +7/NO -7
Over/Under Total: 53
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This Sunday night matchup should be exciting. The Superdome is always rocking
for a night game, and both of these teams can score. I see a shootout on
the horizon when the Dallas Cowboys travel into the Big
Easy to take on the New Orleans Saints. Dallas comes in atop the NFC East division,
while the Saints hold a one game lead over the Carolina Panthers to sit
atop the NFC South. This is a big game, with big playoff implications. The
line opens with New Orleans being a 7 point home favorite, and the over
under is just what is expected at 53 total points. Both teams have shown
signs of greatness, but both teams have also at times shown signs that they
are easily beatable. This game should be a great one that goes all the way
into the fourth quarter.
The Saints were the talk of the offseason last year with Bounty Gate and that whole fiasco, this season has been different. The New Orleans Saints are quietly taking care of business and slowly becoming a favorite to get to the Super Bowl and possibly win it. Drew Brees has thrown for 21 touchdowns and over 2600 yards just half way through the season. The Saints not only are scoring at will, they are playing some pretty good defense too. New Orleans ranks 5th in pass defense only allowing 211 yards per game. The run defense could be a little better, but we all know, in the NFL, if you can stop the pass, you can win games. Not only are the Saints 6-2 overall, but they are 4-0 at home. I have always said, when you travel to the Superdome for a night game, you may as well come into the game with the Saints ahead 10-0. That is not an easy place to play. Many want to say Seattle is the toughest environment to play inpleaseits not even close. The Superdome is truly the most hostile home field advantage in all of football. The key to this game for the Saints is to get out to a quick lead. Dallas is not the most mentally strong team, therefore, if the Saints can get them down 14-0 or 17-0 early on, the Cowboys could fold and call it a night by the 3rd quarter. Force Romo to make mistakes, score points, and control the game. If the Saints do this, they not only win, but they cover the seven point spread in a big, big way.
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Dallas. Where do I start? Well, Dallas is just Dallas. They are the epitome of average football team. Dallas will take the Denver Broncos down to the wire and nearly beat one of the best teams in all of the league, but then just a couple of weeks later, they have to have a miracle in order to beat the 1-7 Vikings. You never know what team will show up. Dallas ranks in the top 10 of the NFL in passing yards, but they also rank in the bottom 3rd against the pass. Actually, they rank 31st against the pass, giving up 305 yards per game. Dallas needs to come into this game with a sense of urgency. This could be a huge for the Cowboys if they could steal this one from the Saints. How can the Cowboys pull this off? The Cowboys need to keep this game as low scoring as possible. That is not an easy task, but they do not want this game getting up into the 30s or 40s or they will not win. But if the Dallas D can keep the Saints in the 23-26 point range, we could have ourselves a very interesting finish.
Bob’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Do I think the Dallas Cowboys are a better team than the Saints? Absolutely not, but I do think they have the offensive fire power to hang with New Orleans. This game will be wild. There are going to be some big plays, there will be turnovers. When its all said and done, I do think the Saints win, but I like Dallas to cover the 7. Saints win 27-21. PICK THE DALLAS COWBOYS +7