Dallas Cowboys vs. Green Bay Packers Betting Pick

Dallas Cowboys (6-2 SU, 6-2 ATS) vs. Green Bay Packers (3-6 SU, 3-6 ATS)

NFL Football Week 10

Date/Time: Sunday November 13th, 2022. 4:25 PM (EST)

Where: Lambeau Field Green Bay, WI

TV: FOX

Betting Odds:

Point Spread: DAL -5/GB +5 (BAS – Are you still betting on games at -110 odds? Why pay more when you can pay only -105 here? Start saving money and stop wasting it!)

Moneyline: DAL -225/GB +195

Total: 43

If you thought things couldn’t get worse for Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers, Sunday’s 15-9 loss to the Detroit Lions proved things are much worse than previously believed. Throughout the season, the Packers’ receiving corps have been criticized heavily for not producing or providing Aaron Rodgers with the tools needed to perform at a high level. However, the loss to the Lions proved that it was not just the receiving corps that was causing trouble as QB Aaron Rodgers tossed three ugly interceptions in possibly the worst performance of the season. As a result, Rodgers is now the guy receiving heavy criticism going into Sunday’s week ten showdown against the Dallas Cowboys.

The visiting Cowboys will travel to Lambeau Field this weekend fresh off a week nine bye and winners of 6 of the last seven games. Perhaps more importantly, the Cowboys got some much-needed rest to help RB Ezekiel Elliott and others who were banged up with injuries. As a result, the Cowboys will enter Sunday’s road trip against the Packers with a clean bill of health and ongoing controversy at the running back position around Tony Pollard and Elliott. Pollard has been the more impactful running back throughout the season, but Elliott is expected to continue carrying the heavier load of touches in the Dallas backfield. Either way, the Cowboys are poised to continue to deploy a heavy ground attack moving forward, especially against a Green Bay defense that has been shredded for 140 yards per game on the ground.

Dallas Cowboys vs. Green Bay Packers Betting Analysis

As we look into the match-ups for this week’s showdown between the Cowboys and Packers, I find this match-up somewhat intriguing because Green Bay Head Coach Matt LaFluer does not seem to have any confidence in his offensive approach. In the Week 8 loss to the Buffalo Bills, the Packers stuck to the ground attack with Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon. While the pair had success on the ground, it did not create enough scoring opportunities to match the pace of the Buffalo offense. In many ways, the Packers ran the ball too much in the later stages of that Week 8 loss. Then last week, the Packers had multiple goal-line opportunities yet never gave Jones nor Dillon barely any chances to get into the end zone. Instead, Rodgers made some really poor throws which resulted in turnovers.

Needless to say, I’m not sure what type of approach LaFluer will go with this week. The smarter play would be to attack the Cowboys’ run defense, but something tells me that Rodgers will cut it loose again in a bounce-back attempt. If that happens, the Dallas defense could reap the rewards. After all, the Cowboys create a ton of pressure on opposing quarterbacks and are notorious for forcing turnovers. Therefore if this turns into another “air it out” campaign by the Green Bay offense, I actually think it will play into the hands of the Dallas defense.

If the Cowboys are challenged with a heavy rushing attack, I still have a lot of faith the Dallas offense will get the job done. For as bad as the Green Bay offense has looked recently, the Packers’ defense has not exactly been much better. The Lions may have made the Green Bay defense look better last week, but that should not be any consolation. For this week’s match-up against the Cowboys, Green Bay’s defense will be tasked with the challenge of stopping the NFL’s best 1-2 punch in Elliott and Pollard. I have said for a long time that the Cowboys are most dangerous when they are running the football and keeping QB Dak Prescott out of games where he needs to throw it more than 25 times.

Luckily, offensive coordinator Kellen Moore has remained committed to the ground attack since Prescott returned to the lineup. I think that renewed focus on the ground attack is helping both Prescott and the entire defense by not being on the field as much. As a result, the entire Cowboys team is showing positive trends with wins in 6 of the last 7 games and covers against the spread in 6 of the last 7 games. As long as the ground game remains the primary focus, I think that trend continues this week in another match-up that favors the Cowboys’ ground attack.

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Dallas Cowboys vs. Green Bay Packers Betting Trends

• The Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in the last seven games
• The Cowboys have hit the “under” in 14 of the last 20 games
• The Cowboys are 10-2 ATS in the last 12 games on the road
• The Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings against Green Bay
• The Packers are 1-5 ATS in the last six games
• The Packers have hit the “under” in seven of the last ten games
• The Packers are 16-4 SU in the last 20 games at Lambeau Field
• The Packers are just 2-6 ATS in the last eight games against NFC opponents
• The Packers are 8-1 SU in the last nine meetings against the Cowboys

Dallas Cowboys vs. Green Bay Packers Betting Prediction

It feels like the betting public keeps waiting for the Packers to turn the corner and get back on track which is evidenced in this 5-point betting line. However, I think everyone is avoiding the inevitable fact that the Packers are just not a good football team. The Cowboys have been the better match-ups on both sides of the football, and I think they get the job done here.
Jay’s Pick: Take Dallas -5. Bet your Week 10 NFL games for FREE by scoring a 125% real cash bonus up to $400 AND get a FREE half point everytime you bet your favorite college/pro team simply by using bonus code PREDICTEM when you sign up for a betting account at GTBets Sportsbook! It’s the best bonus/promo on the web!