Dallas Cowboys vs. Cincinnati Bengals: Point Spread Bet for MNF

by | Last updated Dec 9, 2024 | nfl

Joe Burrow QB Cincinnati Bengals

Date: December 9, 2024
Time: 8:15 PM ET
Venue: AT&T Stadium
Weather: Dome

Current Lines

  • Spread: Bengals -5.5 (-110)
  • Total: 49.5 (Over/Under -110)
  • Moneyline: Bengals -250, Cowboys +200

Key Injury Impact

Cincinnati left tackle Orlando Brown Jr. has been ruled out for this game. This is a significant absence facing a Cowboys defense that ranks 9th in sacks per game (2.8).

Team Analysis

Cincinnati Bengals (4-8)

  • Road Record: 1-5
  • Lead NFL in passing yards (264.3 per game)
  • Rank 6th in scoring (27.9 PPG)
  • Third in QB rating (105.9)

Dallas Cowboys (5-7)

  • Home Record: 1-5
  • Generate 2.8 sacks per game (9th)
  • Allow 28.2 PPG (29th in defense)
  • Force 0.4 fumbles per game (1st)

Key Matchup Factors

The absence of Brown significantly impacts this matchup. Cincinnati’s league-leading passing attack (264.3 YPG) now faces additional pressure against Dallas’s 2.8 sacks per game. The Bengals’ road struggles (1-5) combined with missing their starting left tackle makes the 5.5-point spread appear generous to the underdog.

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Recent Performance

Cincinnati Last 10:

  • 5-5 ATS
  • 8-2 to the Over
  • 4-6 Straight Up

The Bottom Line

While Cincinnati shows superior offensive statistics, the combination of their road struggles, Dallas’s pass rush capability, and the absence of Orlando Brown Jr. makes laying 5.5 points on the road difficult to justify. The Cowboys’ ability to generate pressure (2.8 sacks/game) becomes even more significant against a compromised offensive line.

Best Bet

Play: Cowboys +5.5 ⭐⭐⭐
Predicted Score: Bengals 24, Cowboys 23

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