Colts vs. Titans Betting Analysis & Predictions for 12/3/23

Indianapolis Colts (6-5 SU, 7-4 ATS) at Tennessee Titans (4-7, 5-6), 10/3/23

When: 1 pm ET Sunday, Dec. 3

Where: Nissan Stadium

TV: CBS

Betting Odds

Point spread: Ind -1.5/Ten +1.5
Money line: Indy -120/Tenn +100
Total: 42.5

The Colts are playing themselves into playoff contention while the Titans are in danger of falling out, heading into this AFC South grudge match slated for Sunday afternoon in Nashville.

Indianapolis beat Tennessee earlier this season and is favored to do it again Sunday. Can the Colts pull off the sweep? Or do the Titans have some life left in them?

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NFL Betting Odds

The Week 13 NFL betting market opened Indianapolis as a two-point divisional road favorite for Sunday, with an over/under of right around 42.5. Early betting action then dipped that line to 1.5.

Titans Betting Preview

Meanwhile, Tennessee just snapped a three-game losing skid with a 17-10 win over lowly Carolina last Sunday. The Titans, favored by four points, took the lead for good with a first-quarter touchdown, led 17-3 at the half, and held on from there despite getting shut out in the second half.

Tennessee only produced 264 yards of total offense last Sunday, and while the defense only allowed 258 yards, Carolina is terrible.

Four games ago, the Titans scored one offensive touchdown and lost to Pittsburgh 20-16. Three games ago, they failed to hit paydirt and lost to Tampa Bay 20-6. And two games ago, they scored two meaningless touchdowns in a 34-14 loss to Jacksonville.

At 4-7 overall, Tennessee trails Indianapolis by two games and six other teams in the battle for that No. 7 spot in the AFC.

Common Opponents

These two teams have played five common opponents so far this season: the Browns, Jaguars, Panthers, Ravens, and Saints. Indianapolis played those foes to 2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS, and -9 yards per game, and Tennessee to 1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS, and -118 YPG.

Colts-Titans Recent History

Tennessee beat Indianapolis five meetings in a row through last season but the Colts won the first meeting between these teams this season back in October 23-16. Indianapolis out-rushed the Titans that day 193-89 as Moss popped off for 165.

NFL Betting Trends

The Colts are 4-3 SU, 5-2 ATS with Gardner Minshew as the starter at QB this season.

The Titans are 2-3 both SU and ATS with Will Levis as the starter at QB.

Rookie quarterbacks are 19-28 SU and 19-25-3 ATS as starters in the NFL this season.

Totals Report

• The Overs are 7-4 in Colts games this season, which are averaging 49 total points.
• The Unders are 8-3 in Titans games, which are averaging 37 points.
• Through Week 12, the Unders are 105-75 (58 percent) in the NFL this season.
• The Unders are 4-1 over the last five meetings between these teams.

Free NFL Betting Pick

Indianapolis is playing the better football as of late. Also, we give the Colts the edge in the QB comparison, and while Taylor is out, Moss ain’t a bad replacement. Also, Indianapolis out-played Tennessee earlier this season and owns the better performance against common opponents. We like the Colts to continue their recent winning ways on Sunday.