Chicago Bears at Arizona Cardinals Free Pick ATS | Week 9

Chicago Bears (4-3 SU, 4-2-1 ATS) at Arizona Cardinals (4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS) Betting Analysis
When: 4:05 pm ET, Sunday, Nov. 3
Where: State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ
TV: CBS

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Bears +1 / Cardinals -1
Over/Under: 44.5

Two Heisman-winning quarterbacks go head-to-head this Sunday as Caleb Williams and the Chicago Bears take on Kyler Murray and the Arizona Cardinals in Glendale. Arizona enters the matchup on a roll, having won three of its last four games, including a comeback win against Miami. Chicago, on the other hand, saw a three-game winning streak come to an end in dramatic fashion, losing to Washington on a last-second Hail Mary.

NFL Betting Odds Movement

The Week 9 betting line opened with Arizona favored by 1.5 points, with the total around 45. Early action on Chicago brought the line to Cardinals -1, while the total slightly dropped to 44.5.

Bears Betting Preview

Chicago’s recent loss at Washington ended a streak of three straight victories. After trailing most of the game, the Bears managed to take the lead with seconds remaining, only to lose on a tipped Hail Mary, falling 18-15. Chicago was out-gained 481-307 in the game. Quarterback Caleb Williams struggled, completing just 10 of 24 passes for 131 yards, but running back D’Andre Swift shined, posting 129 rushing yards. Chicago’s recent wins came against the Rams, Panthers, and Jaguars, improving their overall record to 4-3, just one game out of the NFC’s final playoff spot.

Cardinals Betting Preview

Meanwhile, Arizona is 3-1 SU and ATS in its last four games. The Cardinals edged Miami 28-27 in another come-from-behind victory, rallying from a nine-point deficit in the fourth quarter. Kyler Murray threw for 307 yards, exceeding his passing yardage prop of 207.5. Tight end Trey McBride and receiver Antoine Harrison both posted 100-yard games as Arizona out-gained Miami 389-377. The Cardinals have navigated a challenging schedule to sit atop the NFC West, currently tied by record with the 49ers and Seahawks.

Betting Angles

• Chicago has yet to score first in a game this season. In 2023, teams that score first are 73-50 SU and 76-46 ATS.
• Home teams are under .500 against the spread this season, going 52-66 ATS.
• Totals trends: Bears games are 4-3 to the under, averaging 40 points; Cardinals games lean over at 4-3, averaging 48 points.

Key Props

Chicago WR Allen: +220 to score a touchdown, +1400 to score two.
Arizona TE McBride: +210 to score one touchdown, +1300 to score two.

Free NFL Betting Pick

Arizona holds an edge at quarterback and a stronger recent performance against common opponents. Chicago may be impacted by last week’s cross-country heartbreak, while Arizona’s momentum and strength of schedule provide additional confidence. Given these factors, we’re backing Arizona to win and cover in this Week 9 matchup.