Bears vs. Titans Point Spread Prediction: NFL Week 1

Tennessee Titans vs Chicago Bears – NFL Week 1 Betting Pick & Predictions

When: 1 pm ET Sunday, Sept. 8

Where: Soldier Field

TV: Fox

NFL Betting Odds

• Point Spread: Titans +4 / Bears -4
• Money Line: Ten +160 / Chi -200
• Over/Under: 45 points

Betting Preview

The Chicago Bears will debut their latest highly regarded rookie quarterback, Caleb Williams when they face the Tennessee Titans on Sunday afternoon at Soldier Field. The Bears are coming off a strong second half of last season but have shifted from one young QB to another, while the Titans are playing their first game under new head coach Brian Callahan.

NFL Betting Line Movement

The Week 1 NFL betting market opened with Chicago at -4.5 over Tennessee, with an over/under of 45 points. Early betting action moved the Bears slightly down to -4.

Titans Betting Outlook

Tennessee missed the playoffs for the second straight season last year, finishing 6-11. The Titans struggled after losing starting QB Ryan Tannehill to injury and played the second half of the season with rookie Will Levis, going 3-5 in that span. Following the season, the Titans parted ways with head coach Mike Vrabel and brought in Brian Callahan as their new head coach.

In the offseason, Tennessee made significant changes, letting go of long-time running back Derrick Henry and QB Tannehill. They added RB Tony Pollard, WRs Calvin Ridley, and Tyler Boyd to help bolster the offense. Tennessee enters the season with a wins O/U of 5.5 and long odds of +7000 to win the AFC.

Bears Betting Outlook

Chicago had a much improved second half of last season, going 7-5 after starting 0-4. The Bears made a bold move in the offseason, parting ways with QB Justin Fields and drafting Heisman Trophy-winning QB Caleb Williams. Alongside Williams, the Bears added key offensive weapons like WR Rome Odunze, RB D’Andre Swift, and WR Keenan Allen.

Chicago is looking to build on last season’s momentum, with a wins O/U of 8.5 and +2000 odds to win the NFC.

By the Numbers: Key Stats from Last Season

• Tennessee Titans: Ranked 28th in total offense (289 YPG) and 17th in rushing (109 YPG). Ranked 18th in total defense (335 YPG allowed) and 13th against the run (108 YPG allowed).
• Chicago Bears: Ranked 20th in total offense (323 YPG) and 2nd in rushing (141 YPG). Ranked 12th in total defense (324 YPG allowed) and 1st in rushing defense (86 YPG allowed).

Titans-Bears Recent Matchups

These teams last met four seasons ago, with the Titans winning 24-17 in Nashville. Ryan Tannehill was the quarterback for Tennessee, while Nick Foles started for Chicago.

NFL Betting Trends to Watch

• Rookie starting quarterbacks were 0-3 SU and ATS in Week 1 last season.
• Tennessee went 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS on the road last season.
• Chicago went 5-3 SU and 4-2-2 ATS at home last season.

Totals Report

• Unders played 11-6 in Titans games last season, averaging 40 total points per game.
• Overs played 9-8 in Bears games last season, averaging 43 total points per game.
• Unders played 12-4 in NFL Week 1 games last season.

Free NFL Betting Pick: Bears -4

While Caleb Williams is an unknown factor, the Bears still have the offensive edge and a strong defense, especially against the run. With the Titans adjusting to a new coaching regime and playing on the road, we like Chicago to cover the spread at -4 in this matchup.

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