Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers: NFL Week 5 Predictions

Date: October 8, 2023

Time: 1:00 pm ET

Location: Acrisure Stadium

TV: CBS

NFL Betting Odds

• Point Spread: Bal -4/Pit +4
• Money Line: Balt -195/Pitt +165
• Total: 38

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Introduction

In a pivotal AFC North matchup, the Baltimore Ravens (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS) clash with the Pittsburgh Steelers (2-2, 2-2) on Sunday, October 8th, 2023, at Acrisure Stadium. Both teams are looking to gain an advantage in the division standings.

NFL Betting Lines

The opening lines for this Week 5 NFL showdown favor Baltimore, designating them as four-point favorites in this divisional clash. The initial over/under was set at approximately 40 points but has since dropped to 38 due to early betting action.

Ravens-Steelers NFL Betting Preview

Ravens’ Resurgence

Baltimore rebounded last week following an unexpected loss to the Colts two weeks ago, defeating the Cleveland Browns 28-3. The Ravens capitalized on an early takeaway, building a commanding 21-3 lead by halftime. They stifled the shorthanded Browns, outgaining them 296-166, with much of Cleveland’s yardage coming in garbage time.

Strong Start for the Ravens

The Ravens kicked off the season with a routine victory against the Arizona Cardinals, followed by a hard-fought win over the Cincinnati Bengals (27-24). However, they stumbled at home against the Colts in overtime (22-19). Impressively, Baltimore has outgained three of its four opponents this season and dominated in the rushing department.

Steelers Seeking Redemption

Pittsburgh is aiming for redemption after a lackluster performance last week, losing 30-6 to the Houston Texans. Despite being three-point favorites, the Steelers allowed the Texans to drive 69 yards for an opening touchdown and trailed 16-0 at halftime. Although they narrowed the gap to 16-6 in the third quarter, they couldn’t mount a comeback.

Inconsistent Steelers

The Steelers started the season with a disappointing loss to the San Francisco 49ers but rebounded with wins against the Cleveland Browns and Las Vegas Raiders. Notably, Pittsburgh was outplayed by the Browns and relied on defensive scores for their victory.

Injury Concerns

Both teams have injury concerns. The Ravens are dealing with injuries along the offensive line and in the defensive secondary. Bettors should monitor injury reports for the latest updates.

Ravens-Steelers Recent History

In recent matchups, the Steelers have had the upper hand, winning five of the last six meetings outright and covering the spread in four of those games. Last season, the teams split their two meetings, with the Ravens winning in Pittsburgh (16-14) and the Steelers prevailing in Baltimore (16-13). Notably, Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson missed both of those games, while Pittsburgh’s Kenny Pickett missed the first meeting.

NFL Betting Trends

Through Week 4 of the NFL season:

• Home teams are 29-34 straight up (SU) and 26-33 against the spread (ATS).
• Favorites are 41-23 SU and 30-30 ATS.
• Home underdogs are 8-19 SU and 11-14 ATS.

Totals Report

This season, the under has been profitable in both Ravens and Steelers games, with both teams’ matchups averaging fewer points than expected. Ravens games have averaged 39 total points, while Steelers games have averaged 41 points. Across the NFL, unders have a slight edge with a 34-30 record through Week 4.

Free NFL Betting Pick

Despite injury concerns, Baltimore appears to be the stronger team in this matchup. Lamar Jackson’s dynamic playmaking and a solid defense give them the edge. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh has struggled to move the ball effectively and their defense has shown vulnerabilities. Our pick is the Ravens to win and cover the spread.

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