Baltimore Ravens vs. Cincinnati Bengals Pick 11/10/19

Baltimore Ravens (6-2 SU, 3-5 ATS) vs. Cincinnati Bengals (0-8 SU, 3-5 ATS)
NFL Football Week 10
Date/Time: Sunday – November 10th – 1:00pm EST
Where: Paul Brown Stadium – Cincinnati, OH
TV: CBS

Point Spread: BAL -10/CIN +10 (BetNow)
Over/Under Total: 44

BALTIMORE RAVENS AND CINCINNATI BENGALS AFC NORTH SHOWDOWN:

This Sunday, there is a lesser intriguing AFC North battle between the 6-2 Baltimore Ravens and the 0-8 Cincinnati Bengals. Baltimore comes into this game in first place in the AFC North Division while the Bengals well, the Bengals are dead last in the division and the NFL. Baltimore is coming off their most impressive win of the year with a 37-20 win over the Tom Brady and the New England Patriots. The Ravens jumped up 17-0 very early only to see the Patriots make it a game late in the first half. The rest of the way was pretty much all Ravens. Lamar Jackson continued to prove his doubters wrong as he passed for 163 yards and one touchdown and added another two touchdowns on his own while rushing for another 61 yards. Not only did the Ravens offense shine, but the defense did some work too. The Baltimore D only allowed Brady to complete 30 of his 46 pass attempts for just one touchdown and one interception. It was a very average day for Brady and Company in the loss. Not only does that win keep Baltimore in the hunt and ahead in the AFC North, but it also puts them in the mix for AFC home-field advantage come January. Oh…and as for the Cincinnati Bengals, they had a bye last week after losing to the Los Angeles Rams the week before…Nuff said.

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HOW THE PUBLIC IS BETTING BALTIMORE AND CINCINNATI:

Yeah, you know it, Baltimore is getting a lot of love after that beatdown they gave the New England Patriots the other night. Even at a 10 points fave, 71% of the betting action is on the Ravens to cover the spread. It seems like a pretty cut and dry bet, but is it? So the line opens at 10 points and with nearly 75% of the action on the Ravens and the bookmakers keep the line right where it is? Do they not want action on the Bengals? Do they want the public to ride the Baltimore play? I think so, and that is why for no logical reason, I like the Bengals to cover the 10 points. No, No, No…the Bengals will not win the game outright, but they will cover the points at home and keep it interesting.

WHY THE CINCINNATI BENGALS WILL COVER AT HOME ON SUNDAY:

It is simple…rest. Cincinnati had a week off after their game in London while the Ravens had to play a hard-fought late game against the Patriots. Okay, it is not just the rest that makes me feel the Bengals will cover; it is also just one of those weird games. A home dog…desperate for a win…against a team that is coming off their biggest win in quite a few years. Of course, the public is all over the Ravens, and it appears that it is just how Vegas wants it. Cincy is winless, and Baltimore is starting to look like a sure-fire AFC contender after their win over New England, but we have seen this before in the NFL, one team starts rolling then they get stunned by a “lesser opponent on paper.” I am in no way saying that the Bengals will beat Baltimore and I do feel the Ravens win this game on Sunday, but it will be a little closer and a little less comfortable than most think.

HOW THE GAME WILL PLAY OUT ON SUNDAY:

Sometimes you just have to go with your gut. In my “gut” picks this season, I have done pretty well. The weather in Cincinnati will be nice, so that should not play a role. I see the Bengals taking the pressure off of rookie and first time starting quarterback, Ryan Finley. Finley is a fourth-round draft pick that has pretty much been given the starting role for the remainder of 2019 in order to determine whether or not the Bengals need to draft another quarterback in this year’s upcoming draft. The Bengals will more than likely try and give the Ravens a heavy dose of the run game, hoping to loosen the defense up and keep major pressure off of Finley. Not only is this Finley’s first start, but it appears that the Bengals will again be without AJ Green, which would be a major weapon if available. Green has not officially been ruled out yet, but either way, the run game is huge. Joe Mixon will play the key role in the offense this Sunday. Or at least that is what Cincinnati is hoping for. I see a low scoring, sloppy game. At half time we will see 10-6 type half, but late in the third and early fourth quarter, Baltimore will make a play or two to seal the game. Again, Baltimore will win, but Cincinnati will cover. Baltimore beats the Bengals 23-16 on Sunday in Paul Brown Stadium.

Bob’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Take the Cincinnati Bengals plus the points against the Baltimore Ravens