Warriors vs. Nuggets: Expert Betting Preview and Picks

Golden State Warriors (6-2 SU, 4-4 ATS) vs. Denver Nuggets (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS)

When: Wednesday, November 8th, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Ball Arena, CO, Denver

TV: ESPN

Point Spread: GS +3.5/Den -3.5

Total: 227.5

Money Line: Golden State Warriors +138/-166

Notable Injuries

Warriors

• Draymond Green (Questionable) Personal

Nuggets

• Nikola Jokic (Probable) Wrist
• Jamal Murray (Out) Hamstring
• Vlatko Cancar (Out) Knee

Recent Form

The Warriors will face the Nuggets bringing in an overall record of 6-2 and a 2-1 record over their previous three games. This season, when playing on the road, the Warriors have a 5-1 record, while their record at home is 1-1.

In today’s game against the Warriors, the Nuggets aim to continue their success with a record above .500, currently at 7-1. The team currently sits 1st in the Western Conference and 1st place in the Northwest division.

The Historicals

The Nuggets have had the better record vs the spread over the last 5 games, going 5-0. The team’s average scoring margin in these contests sits at 5 points per game. Golden State and Denver averaged a combined 233 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 3-2.

Analysis

The Warriors’ offense wrapped up their last game with 120 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 116.1 points per contest. Leading the Warriors in scoring vs. the Pistons was Stephen Curry with his 34 points. Chris Paul also added 17 points for the Warriors.

At present, the Warriors’ defense is ranked 12th, allowing 110.4 points per game.

Denver’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 134 points against the Pelicans. They had an overall field goal percentage of 53.7% and made 17/23 free throws. Nikola Jokic is leading the team in scoring at 28.4 points per contest. Michael Porter Jr. has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 15.9 going into the game.

Currently, the Nuggets’ defense holds the 4th rank in the NBA, allowing 106.1 points per game.

Betting Trends

• When looking at their past five road matchups, Golden State has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 120 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
• Across their last five home contests, Denver has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 4-1, while averaging 108 points per game.
• Going back to their last five games as the underdog, the Warriors have a straight up record of 2-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 2-3.
• Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 9-1. Their record vs the spread in these games was 6-4.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

In what is the best matchups of the season so far, the Nuggets are 3.5-point favorites at home. Look for Denver to put together an early statement win and to take care of the Warriors. The way I’m playing this one is to grab the Nuggets on the spread.