Warriors vs. Lakers Game 4 Pick ATS

Golden State Warriors (44-38 SU, 43-48-1 ATS) vs. Los Angeles Lakers (43-39 SU, 46-43-3 ATS)

When: Monday, May 8th, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Crypto.com Arena, CA, Los Angeles

TV: TNT

Point Spread: GS +3/LAL -3 (Why bet games at -110 odds when you only have to lay -105 at BAS?)

Total: 227.5

Money Line: Golden State Warriors +124/-149

Notable Injuries

Warriors

• Andre Iguodala (Out) Wrist
• Patrick Baldwin Jr. (Out) Toe
• Ryan Rollins (Out) Foot

Lakers

• Anthony Davis (Probable) Foot
• LeBron James (Probable) Foot
• Mo Bamba (Questionable) Ankle

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Golden State is 44-38 overall. When taking to the road, Golden State has a mark of 11-30 and a win percentage of 27%. Currently, the team is 6th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 43-48-1 vs. the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs. the spread, they are 2-3 in their past 5 games and 2-3 ATS. Over their past 10 games, they are 5-5 SU and 4-6 ATS.

In their most recent game, Golden State was unable to come away with a victory against the Lakers, losing by a score of 127-97. Despite Stephen Curry leading the team with 23 points, the Warriors were unable to overcome their status as 3-point underdogs. The Warriors also ended up with an ATS loss in the game.

Heading into the game, Los Angeles is 43-39 overall. When playing at home, Los Angeles has a mark of 23-18 and a win percentage of 56%. Currently, the team is 7th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 46-43-3 vs the spread. In Los Angeles’ last 5 games, the Lakers have a straight-up record of 3-2 while going 3-2 in those games. Going back to the last 10, they are 7-3 and 6-4 ATS.

The Lakers came away with a win in their last matchup against the Warriors, achieving a 127-97 victory as 3-point favorites. Anthony Davis led the Lakers with an impressive performance, scoring 25 points on a shooting percentage of 70.0%. In addition to the win, the Lakers also covered the spread.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Lakers picked up the 127-97 win over the Warriors. The Lakers’ margin of victory was enough to cover the spread as a 3.0-point favorite. So far this season, the Lakers have a record of 5-2 vs the Warriors. The Lakers have had the better record vs. the spread over the last 5 games, going 4-1. The team’s average scoring margin in these contests sits at 6 points per game. Over the course of these games, they averaged 226 points per game, leading a 2-3 over-under record.

Analysis

This season, Golden State is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 118.9 points per game. So far, the Warriors are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 101.7 possessions per game. The Warriors have been able to put together a strong offensive attack despite sitting just 4th in 3-point shooting percentage. Overall, they are among the league leaders in attempts at 43.2 attempts per game. Defensively, the Warriors have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 105.46 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.92%.

Coming into today’s game, Jordan Poole is the leading scorer for Golden State at 20.4 points per game. This season, Poole has a field goal percentage of 43.0%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Stephen Curry, at 29.4 points per contest.

This season, Los Angeles is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 117.2 points per game. So far, the Lakers are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 101.8 possessions per game. Los Angeles has struggled with their 3-point shot this season, as they are currently ranked just 35th in 3-point shooting percentage at 34.6%. In addition, they are near the bottom of the league in attempts, at just 31.2 attempts per contest. Defense has been a struggle for Los Angeles, as they are currently allowing 115.15 points per game. In terms of their 3-point defense, opposing teams have hit 35.38% of their looks from deep, placing the Lakers 18th in the NBA.

Coming into today’s game, LeBron James is the leading scorer for Los Angeles at 28.9 points per game. This season, James has a field goal percentage of 50.0%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Anthony Davis at 25.9 points per contest.

Betting Trends

• The Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
• The Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
• The Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
• The Lakers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Conference Semifinals games.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Los Angeles Lakers have now held the Golden State Warriors 41% or under from the field in five out of their last six matchups. The Warriors can’t beat L.A. shooting that low. If you want to get mathematical about it, five out of six equates to 83.3%. I don’t think the Lakers chances of winning are quite that high, but hey, math is math and I don’t see that deviating too much from the recent form! Bankroll running low? Get a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $500 when you enter bonus promo code PREDICTEM on the Special Offers page before you place your first wager at the web’s oldest and most trusted bookie —> Everygame Sportsbook!