Warriors vs. Kings Game 5 Predictions

Golden State Warriors (44-38 SU, 40-45-1 ATS) vs. Sacramento Kings (48-34 SU, 47-38-1 ATS)

When: Wednesday, April 26th, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Golden 1 Center, CA, Sacramento

TV: TNT

Point Spread: GS -1.5/Sac +1.5 (Why overpay for odds? Make -110 a thing of the past! Welcome in -105 odds and start saving BIG money TODAY at BetAnySports Sportsbook! They pay fast too!)

Total: 235

Money Line: Golden State Warriors -123/+103

Notable Injuries

Warriors

• Andre Iguodala (Out) Wrist
• Ryan Rollins (Out) Foot

Kings

• Matthew Dellavedova (Out) Finger
• De’Aaron Fox (Questionable) Finger

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Golden State is 44-38 overall. When taking to the road, Golden State has a mark of 11-30 and a win percentage of 27%. Currently, the team is 6th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 40-45-1 vs. the spread. In their matchup against Sacramento, the Golden State Warriors have won 2 straight games and will look to push that mark to 3 in a row.

In their last outing, the Warriors emerged victorious against the Kings, winning by a score of 126-125. Stephen Curry led the team in scoring with 32 points. The Golden State team was not able to cover the spread as 7-point favorites.

Heading into the game, Sacramento is 48-34 overall. When playing at home, Sacramento has a mark of 23-18 and a win percentage of 56%. Currently, the team is 3rd in the Western Conference. So far, they are 47-38-1 vs. the spread. The Kings need a win in today’s matchup vs Golden State to avoid their 3rd straight loss.

Sacramento most recently lost to the Warriors by a score of 126-125. The team high 38 points from De’Aaron Fox was not enough to come home with the win. The Kings were 7-point favorites going into the game.

The Historicals

In the most recent game between the two teams, the Warriors picked up a 126-125 win over the Kings. However, heading into the game, Golden State was favored to win by 7.5 points, giving the Kings an ATS victory. So far this season, the Warriors have a record of 5-3 vs the Kings. Across the last 5 matchups between the teams, Sacramento has gone 3-2 vs the spread. However, the Warriors actually have a positive scoring margin in these games at +6 points per game. In these contests, they averaged a combined 228 points per game, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.

Analysis

This season, Golden State is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 118.9 points per game. So far, the Warriors are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 101.7 possessions per game. Golden State’s offensive attack has benefited from some hot shooting from outside. Not only are they among the league leaders in 3-pointers attempted per game, but they are 7th in 3-point shooting percentage at 38.5%. Defensively, the Warriors have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 105.46 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.92%.

Jordan Poole comes in with an average of 20.4 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 43.0%. Stephen Curry is the team’s leading scorer, averaging 29.4 points per game.

This season, Sacramento is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 120.7 points per game. So far, the Kings are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 100.6 possessions per game. The three-point shot has been a big part of Sacramento’s offensive game plan, as they are ranked 11th in 3-point attempts per game. So far, they have connected on 36.9% of their looks from outside. Defense has been a struggle for Sacramento, as they are currently allowing 115.77 points per game. The team’s 3-point shooting defense has been a problem this year. So far, opposing offenses have hit 37.05% of their looks from the outside.

Heading into the game, De’Aaron Fox is listed as questionable on the injury report. This season, he leads the team with a per-game scoring average of 25.0. Currently, Domantas Sabonis is 2nd on the team in scoring at 19.1 points per game.

Betting Trends

• The Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The Warriors are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
• The Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Wednesday games.
• The Kings are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

Between feel and knowing how to read NBA lines and line movement, I believe the Warriors win Game 5. The Kings opened at -1.5 and are now +1.5 despite only 37% wagering on the Warriors. I’m siding with the sportsbooks here and betting Golden St. at -1.5. Bet your NBA games for FREE all week by scoring a 125% real cash bonus up to $400 AND get a FREE HALF POINT everytime you bet your favorite team in each sport when you use bonus promo code PREDICTEM at GTBets Sportsbook! These guys are going to ridiculous lengths to get your business!