Warriors vs. Kings Point Spread Pick & Analysis Game 2

by | Last updated Apr 17, 2023 | nba

Golden State Warriors (44-38 SU, 39-43-1 ATS) vs. Sacramento Kings (48-34 SU, 45-37-1 ATS)

When: Monday, April 17th, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Golden 1 Center, CA, Sacramento

TV: TNT

Point Spread: GS -1.5/Sac -1 (Did you know you can bet on games at -105 odds instead of -110 by making the switch to BetAnySports? Why pay more?)

Total: 241

Money Line: Golden State Warriors -119/-102

Notable Injuries

Warriors

  • Andre Iguodala (Out) Wrist
  • Jordan Poole (Questionable) Ankle
  • Ryan Rollins (Out) Foot

Kings

  • Matthew Dellavedova (Out) Finger

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Golden State is 44-38 overall. When taking to the road, Golden State has a mark of 11-30 and a win percentage of 27%. Currently, the team is 6th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 39-43-1 vs the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs the spread, they are 3-2 in their past 5 games and 3-2 ATS. Over their past 10 games, they are 7-3 SU and 5-5 ATS.

In their most recent game, Golden State was unable to come away with a victory against the Kings, losing by a score of 126-123. Despite Stephen Curry leading the team with 30 points, the Warriors were unable to overcome their status as 1-point underdogs. The Warriors also ended up with an ATS loss in the game.

Heading into the game, Sacramento is 48-34 overall. When playing at home, Sacramento has a mark of 23-18 and a win percentage of 56%. Currently, the team is 3rd in the Western Conference. So far, they are 45-37-1 vs the spread. In Sacramento’s last 5 games, the Kings have a straight-up record of 2-3 while going 3-2 in those games. Going back to the last 10, they are 5-5 and 5-5 ATS.

In their last game, Sacramento defeated the Warriors (126-123) as 1-point favorites. De’Aaron Fox led the team with 38 points on 48.1% shooting. The Kings also covered the spread with the victory.

The Historicals

In the most recent game between the two teams, the Kings picked up a 126-123 win over the Kings. Going into the game, Sacramento was favored by 1. So far this season, the Warriors have a record of 3-2 vs the Kings. When looking at how these teams have performed vs. the spread in recent matchups, the Kings have an ATS mark of 4-1 . The over-under record in these same games is 2-2-1, with the teams combining for an average of 236 points per game.

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Analysis

This season, Golden State is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 118.9 points per game. So far, the Warriors are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 101.7 possessions per game. Golden State’s offensive attack has benefited from some hot shooting from outside. Not only are they among the league leaders in 3-pointers attempted per game, but they are 7th in 3-point shooting percentage at 38.5%. Defensively, the Warriors have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 105.46 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.92%.

Heading into the game, Jordan Poole is listed as questionable on the injury report. This season, he leads the team with a per-game scoring average of 20.4. Currently, Stephen Curry is 2nd on the team in scoring at 29.4 points per game.

This season, Sacramento is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 120.7 points per game. So far, the Kings are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 100.6 possessions per game. The three-point shot has been a big part of Sacramento’s offensive game plan, as they are ranked 11th in 3-point attempts per game. So far, they have connected on 36.9% of their looks from outside. Defense has been a struggle for Sacramento, as they are currently allowing 115.77 points per game. The team’s 3-point shooting defense has been a problem this year. So far, opposing offenses have hit 37.05% of their looks from the outside.

As the Kings prepare for today’s game, De’Aaron Fox is their leading scorer, with an average of 25.0 points per game. This season, Fox has a field goal percentage of 51.2%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Domantas Sabonis, who is averaging 19.1 points per game.

Betting Trends

  • Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
  • Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Kings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Kings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Warriors played pretty well in the first game. The Kings were somewhat inefficient at times and still won. There’s not a ton of wagering value here, but I’ll be placing a small bet on the Kings at +1. Bet your MLB picks for FREE this week by scoring a 50% real cash bonus up to $250 by making the switch to a better bookie! —> Bovada Sportsbook! They have the best live betting platform that BLOWS AWAY the rest! You also get rebates on every bet!