Warriors vs. Kings Betting Predictions & Analysis Game 1

by | Last updated Apr 15, 2023 | nba

Golden State Warriors (44-38 SU, 39-42-1 ATS) vs. Sacramento Kings (48-34 SU, 44-37-1 ATS)

When: Saturday, April 15th, 8:30 PM (ET)

Where: Golden 1 Center, CA, Sacramento

TV: ABC

Point Spread: GS -1/Sac +1 (Deposit $100, get $100 FREE with code PREDICT100 at MyBookie!)

Total: 237

Money Line: Golden State Warriors -108/-113

Notable Injuries

Warriors

  • Andre Iguodala (Out) Wrist
  • Ryan Rollins (Out) Foot

Kings

  • Matthew Dellavedova (Out) Finger

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Golden State is 44-38 overall. When taking to the road, Golden State has a mark of 11-30 and a win percentage of 27%. Currently, the team is 6th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 39-42-1 vs. the spread. In their matchup against Sacramento, the Golden State Warriors have won 3 straight games and will look to push that mark to 4 in a row.

In their preceding game, the Warriors overpowered the Trail Blazers, earning a 157-101 win as 17 point favorites. Stephen Curry led the way for the Warriors, putting up 26 points on 60.0% shooting. The Warriors not only secured the victory but also covered the spread.

Heading into the game, Sacramento is 48-34 overall. When playing at home, Sacramento has a mark of 23-18 and a win percentage of 56%. Currently, the team is 3rd in the Western Conference. So far, they are 44-37-1 vs. the spread. The Kings need a win in today’s matchup vs. Golden State to avoid their 4th straight loss.

In their most recent matchup, the Nuggets defeated Sacramento with a score of 109-95. Harrison Barnes scored the most points for the team with 17, but it was not enough to earn the win. The Kings were 5 points ahead going into the game.

The Historicals

In the most recent game between the two teams, the Warriors picked up a 130-125 win over the Kings. However, heading into the game, Golden State was favored to win by 10.0 points, giving the Kings an ATS victory. So far this season, the Warriors have a record of 3-1 vs. the Kings. When looking at how these teams have performed vs the spread in recent matchups, the Kings have an ATS mark of 3-2. Over the course of these games, they averaged 226 points per game, leading a 1-3-1 over-under record.

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Analysis

This season, Golden State is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 118.9 points per game. So far, the Warriors are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 101.7 possessions per game. The Warriors have been able to put together a strong offensive attack despite sitting just 3rd in 3-point shooting percentage. Overall, they are among the league leaders in attempts at 43.2 attempts per game. Defensively, the Warriors have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 105.46 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.92%.

Jordan Poole is the top scorer for the Warriors, with an average of 20.4 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 43.0%. Stephen Curry is the team’s second-leading scorer, averaging 29.4 points per game.

For the season, Sacramento has put together one of the top-scoring offenses in the NBA at 120.7 points per game. When looking at their style of play, the team is currently near the league average in pace, averaging 100.6 possessions per contest. Sacramento’s offensive attack has benefited from some hot shooting from outside. Not only are they among the league leaders in 3-pointers attempted per game, but they are 10th in 3-point shooting percentage at 36.9%. Defense has been a struggle for Sacramento, as they are currently allowing 115.77 points per game. The team’s 3-point shooting defense has been a problem this year. So far, opposing offenses have hit 37.05% of their looks from the outside.

De’Aaron Fox is the top scorer for Sacramento, averaging 25.0 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 51.2%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Domantas Sabonis, with an average of 19.1 points per game.

Betting Trends

  • Warriors are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
  • Warriors are 32-14 ATS in their last 46 Conference Quarterfinals games.
  • Kings are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss.
  • Kings are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Warriors have picked on the Kings for many years. We’re witnessing a changing of the tide this season as Sac played Golden St. tough in their meetings that mattered. I believe what we’ve got here (at least for the short term) is a series in which the home team gets the W, which also means I believe the Kings will advance to the next round. I’m laying the -1 with the Kings. Question: Are you betting baseball this season? If so, it’d be a great idea to learn about MLB dimelines so you’re getting the most bang for yur buck!