Warriors vs. Jazz Pick & Predictions for Feb 15

Golden State Warriors (26-26 SU, 27-24 ATS) vs. Utah Jazz (26-29 SU, 31-24 ATS)

When: Thursday, February 15th, 9:00 PM (ET)

Where: Delta Center, UT, Salt Lake City

TV: NBCS

Point Spread: GS -1/UT +1

Total: 237.5

Money Line: Golden State Warriors -118/-103

Notable Injuries

Warriors

• Chris Paul (Out) Hand

Jazz

None

At 9:00 ET, the Golden State Warriors (-118) will take on the Utah Jazz (-103) in a Western Conference matchup. The Warriors are favored by 1 point, and the over/under line is set at 237.5.

Golden State (26-26) is currently 10th in the Western Conference, while Utah (26-29) is 11th. The Jazz have lost three straight games, and they’ll be looking to get back on track at home in Salt Lake City.

Recent Form

Golden State is favored by 1 point today against the Jazz. This season, the Warriors have been favored in 31 of their 52 games and have a record of 20-11 in those games. As the favorite, they have gone 13-18 against the spread.

The Warriors’ O/U record for the season is 28-23-1, and 39 of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s line of 237.5. On average, their games have finished with 237.2 points.

When looking at their ATS record, Golden State is 27-24 overall and 16-8 on the road. They have covered the spread in their last four road games and are 9th in the Western Conference with a 12-12 road record.

In their last game, the Warriors lost to the Clippers by a score of 130-125. The O/U line for that game was 237 points, and Golden State was favored by -4. This dropped their ATS record to 11-16 at home and 14-6 as underdogs.

Golden State is currently 10th in the Western Conference with a record of 26-26. Against the West, they are 14-20 and 4-9 in their division. On the road, the Warriors have won four straight games and are 12-12 for the season.

As the 11th seed in the Western Conference, the Jazz are looking to snap a three-game losing streak. They are 26-29 overall and are 13-21 against other Western Conference teams.

Utah’s ATS record for the season is 31-24, but they have failed to cover in their last two games at home. As the underdog, they are 21-19 vs. the spread and 15-25 straight-up.

This season, Utah’s games have averaged 238.1 points per game, which is higher than today’s O/U line of 237.5. The Jazz have a 31-23-1 O/U record for the season.

In their last game, the Jazz lost to the Lakers by a score of 138-122. The O/U line for that game was 240.5, and Utah was favored by 4.5 points going into the game.

Overall, the Jazz are 4th in the Northwest Division and have a home record of 17-9. At home, they have an average scoring differential of +5.5 points per game.

The Historicals

Across the previous 5 meetings between the teams, the Warriors have an average scoring margin of +8 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 5-0. The over-under record in these same games is 2-2-1, with the teams combining for an average of 232 points per game.

Analysis

When it comes to scoring, the Warriors are one of the league’s top offensive teams. They are 6th in the NBA in scoring at 119.3 points per game. On the road, they are even better, averaging 120.5 points per game.

Golden State’s offense is built around their three-point shooting. They are 2nd in the league in three-pointers made per game at 15. However, they are just 17th in two-point field goal percentage.

In terms of pace, the Warriors are 9th in the league at 100.2 possessions per game. Overall, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 61.5% of their games this season.

So far, the Warriors defense is giving up 117.8 points per contest, which has them sitting 21st in the NBA. One thing to note, is they have given up more points than their season average in two straight matchups. Opponents are hitting 54.7% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 35.8% of their three-point attempts.

At home this season, the Jazz are scoring 123.2 points per game, which is 4th in the NBA. Overall, they are 11th in scoring at 117.7 points per game. When it comes to pace, they are 10th in the league at 100.2 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting, Utah is 20th in field goal percentage at 47%. They are also 14th in two-point shooting at 55%. From beyond the arc, the Jazz are 12th in made threes per game but are just 22nd in three-point shooting percentage at 35%.

Utah is one of the top offensive rebounding teams in the NBA, ranking 2nd in offensive boards per game. In terms of assists, they are 8th in the league at 28.3 per game.

The Jazz’s defense is presently ranked 25th in the league, allowing an average of 120.4 points per contest. Inside the arc, the Jazz defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 54.8% and 38.7% from three-point territory.

Betting Trends

• Although Golden State has a straight up record of 6-4 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 8-2. The team averaged 123 points per game in these games.
• Through their last three home contests, the Jazz offense has averaged 110 points per game while allowing an average of 131. Utah posted an overall record of 0-3 while going 0-3 ATS.
• As the betting underdog, the Jazz have an ATS mark of just 1-4 in their last five games. Utah posted a straight up mark of 1-4 in these matchups.
• Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Warriors have a straight up record of 6-4. But, their mark vs the spread was just 6-4.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

Both Golden State and Utah are coming off losses and are playing on back-to-back nights. These two teams also faced off on Monday, with the Warriors cruising to an easy win. I’m taking the Warriors to pick up the win in the final game before the All-Star Break. I like the Warriors to win and cover at -1.