Warriors vs. Clippers: Will Stephen Curry Play?

by | Last updated Nov 18, 2024 | nba

Golden State Warriors (10-2 SU, 9-3 ATS) vs. Los Angeles Clippers (7-7 SU, 8-6 ATS)

When: Monday, November 18th, 10:30 PM (ET)

Where: Intuit Dome, CA, Inglewood

TV: NBCS

Point Spread: GS -4/LAC +4

Total: 224.5

Money Line: GSW -176/L.A. +148

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Notable Injuries

Warriors

  • Stephen Curry (Questionable) left knee/Bursitis
  • Kevon Looney (Questionable) Illness
  • De’Anthony Melton (Out) ACL
  • Lindy Waters III (Questionable) Knee

Clippers

  • Kawhi Leonard (Out) Knee
  • P.J. Tucker (Out) Not With Team

At 10:30 ET, the Golden State Warriors (-176) will take on the Los Angeles Clippers (+148) in a Western Pacific division matchup. The Warriors are favored by 4 points and have a record of 10-2, while the Clippers are 7-7 and currently 11th in the Western Conference.

This game will be played at the Intuit Dome in Inglewood and can be seen on NBCS.

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Golden State improved to 10-2 on the season with a 123-118 win over the Grizzlies on Friday. The Warriors were favored by 7 points at home but didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game were 241, going over the pre-game line of 236.5.

Golden State took control by outscoring Memphis 26-20 in the 2nd quarter and 38-30 in the 3rd. They entered the 4th quarter with a 93-78 lead, but Memphis went on a 10-0 run, closing the gap before the Warriors held on for the win.

The Clippers evened their record at 7-7 with a 116-105 win over the Jazz on Sunday. Playing at home, they were favored by 9.5 points and covered the spread. The total score of 221 points fell just under the 221.5-point line.

Los Angeles set the tone early with a 10-0 run and led 66-45 at halftime. They extended their lead to 96-74 after the 3rd quarter before the Jazz outscored them 31-20 in the 4th.

The Historicals

Across the previous five meetings between the teams, the Clippers have an average scoring margin of +4 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 3-2. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 3-2. Combined, they averaged 232 points in these games.

Analysis

In their win over the Grizzlies, the Warriors connected on 19 threes, shooting 41.3% from deep despite an overall field goal percentage of 43.9%. Buddy Hield led the way with 18 points, hitting four threes at a 50% clip.

Moses Moody added 14 points, with 11 coming in the 4th quarter. Hield also had 8 points in the final period, while Draymond Green and Stephen Curry each contributed 6 points in the 3rd quarter.

The Warriors put together a strong defensive effort in the 2nd quarter, holding the Grizzlies to just 20 points, but struggled in the 4th, allowing 40 points. Despite that, they still managed to secure the win. Overall, Golden State gave up 118 points on 40% shooting from the field.

Golden State was particularly effective at defending the three, limiting Memphis to 16% shooting and just seven made threes. The Warriors also recorded nine steals and five blocks in the game.

Ivica Zubac led the Clippers with 22 points and 11 rebounds in their 116-105 win over the Jazz, shooting 64.7% from the field. James Harden added 20 points and 11 assists, while Norman Powell contributed 19 points, hitting four threes despite shooting just 35.3% overall.

The Clippers struggled from beyond the arc, making only 11 threes at a 27.5% rate, but shot 48.9% from the field overall. Harden scored 8 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters, while Powell added 10 points in the opening period.

Even with the Jazz shooting 49% from the field, the Clippers’ defense held them to 105 points in a win. LA’s best defensive effort came in the 2nd quarter, where they allowed just 20 points.

The Clippers were strong defending the three, holding Utah to 30% shooting with 12 made threes. They also sent the Jazz to the line 18 times, where they made 15 free throws. LA added 11 steals and five blocks.

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Betting Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Golden State has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 122 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
  • Across their last five home contests, Los Angeles has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3 while averaging 110 points per game.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Clippers have gone 2-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-4.
  • As the betting favorite, the Warriors have an ATS mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. Golden State posted a straight-up mark of 7-3 in these matchups.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

Golden State is playing really well right now, having just beaten the Thunder, Mavericks, and most recently, the Grizzlies. Not only that, but they should be well rested, not having played since Friday’s win over Memphis. On the other end, the Clippers responded to two straight losses against the Rockets by picking up a win over the Jazz. However, I don’t see them having enough tonight vs a red-hot Warriors squad. I’m taking Golden State at -4.

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