Utah Jazz at Brooklyn Nets Predictions 3/21/22

Utah Jazz (45-26 SU, 31-38-2 ATS) vs. Brooklyn Nets (37-34 SU, 28-41-2 ATS)
When: Monday March 21 2022, 07:30 PM (ET)
Where: Barclays Center, Brookyln, New York
TV: ATTSN-RM

Point Spread: UTA +2/BRO -2 (Opened BRO -1.5 at Bovada)
Total: 229.5 (Opened at 229.5)
Money Line: Utah Jazz 106/Brooklyn Nets -127
Power Rating:

Probable Starting Lineups

Utah Jazz PG Mike Conley IN, SG Donovan Mitchell, SF Bojan Bogdanovic Q, PF Royce O’Neale, C Rudy Gobert
Brooklyn Nets PG Goran Dragic, SG Seth Curry, SF Bruce Brown, PF Kevin Durant, C Andre Drummond

Key Injuries

Utah Jazz Trent Forrest: Wrist (OUT) Bojan Bogdanovic: Calf (QUESTIONABLE) Danuel House Jr.: Knee (QUESTIONABLE) Udoka Azubuike: Ankle (OUT)

Brooklyn Nets LaMarcus Aldridge: Hip (OUT) Kyrie Irving: Personal (OUT) David Duke Jr.: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE) Ben Simmons: Back (OUT) Joe Harris: Ankle (OUT)

The Brooklyn Nets host the Utah Jazz in a Non-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 07:30 PM ET at the Barclays Center.

Recent Form

The Utah Jazz come into this game with an overall record of 45-26, placing them 4th in the Western Conference. So far, Utah is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 19-15. Over their last five games, the Jazz have played well, picking up 4 wins. During this stretch, Utah is averaging 120.0 points per game, 6.0 points more than their season average of 114.0. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 111.0 points per contest. The Jazz have been picking up wins while holding opponents to an average of 107.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 107.2. In the Utah Jazz’ most recent game, Utah took down New York by a score of 108-93

The Brooklyn Nets come into this game with an overall record of 37-34, placing them 8th in the Eastern Conference. Throughout the season, Brooklyn has struggled in their 34 home contests, sitting at 15-19. The Nets have played well over their last five games, picking up 4 wins. During this stretch, Brooklyn is averaging 126.0 points per game, 14.0 points more than their season average of 112.1. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 109.0 points per contest. The Nets have been picking up victories while holding opponents to an average of 110.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 111.8. In the Brooklyn Nets’ most recent game, Brooklyn took down Portland by a score of 128-123.

Individual Player Analysis

As Utah travels to take on the Brooklyn Nets, the Jazz’ leading scorer is Donovan Mitchell. Through 58 games, Mitchell is averaging 25 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 57.0% of his games. So far, the Nets are allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 50.91% of their games, placing them 17th among NBA defenses. On the other side, Kevin Durant leads the Nets in scoring, averaging 29 points across his 44 games. Throughout the season, Durant has outscored his season average in 43.0% of his outings. However, if he hopes to add to this total, Durant will need to do so against a Jazz defense that has been tough on their opponent’s top scorers. So far, leading scores have surpassed their season average at a rate of just 47.27%. This figure is good for a rank of 10th in the league.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Utah Jazz are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 26 of Utah’s 33 games, leading to a winning percentage of 62%. So far, the Brooklyn Nets have played 40 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 40 times, by an average margin of -12.0 points.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Utah Jazz and Brooklyn Nets have met up for one game. Utah took game one by a score of 125-102.

How the Public is Betting the Jazz vs Nets

63% are betting the Nets against the spread.
61% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 229.5

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Betting Trends Worth Noting

Jazz are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Jazz are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. Nets are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 games as a favorite.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

The Brooklyn Nets get set to host the Utah Jazz as the 8th seed in the Eastern Conference. Over their last 10 games, the team has gone just 5-5. For the year, Brooklyn is just 15-19 at home, in large part to having to play without Kyrie Irving. Even still, the Nets come into the game as 1.5 point favorites. On the other side, Utah is on a three-game winning streak, as they hold the 4th seed in the West. Look for the Jazz to continue their season-long trend of getting up a ton of looks from outside. I see the Nets having trouble keeping up in what should be a high-scoring game. I am taking the Jazz to win and cover.