Trail Blazers vs Clippers Pick: NBA Betting Prediction for Dec 11

by | Last updated Dec 11, 2023 | nba

Portland Trail Blazers (6-15 SU, 10-11 ATS) vs. Los Angeles Clippers (11-10 SU, 9-12 ATS)

When: Monday, December 11th, 10:30 PM (ET)

Where: Crypto.com Arena, CA, Los Angeles

TV: BSSC

Point Spread: Por +13/LAL -13

Total: 220

Money Line: Portland Trail Blazers +651/-1026

Notable Injuries

Trail Blazers

  • Jerami Grant (Out) Concussion
  • Malcolm Brogdon (Questionable) Knee
  • Deandre Ayton (Questionable) Knee
  • Robert Williams III (Out) Knee
  • Ish Wainright (Out) Knee

Clippers

  • Mason Plumlee (Out) Knee
  • Moussa Diabate (Out) Hip

Recent Form

As the Trail Blazers look to take on the Clippers, they have a below .500 record of 6-15. When playing on the road, the Trail Blazers have gone 4-9 this season compared to 2-6 at home.

Through 21 games, the Clippers are 11-10 overall and are looking to maintain a winning record. When playing at home, the Clippers are 7-3 compared to their 4-7 record on the road.

The Historicals

The Clippers have had the better record vs the spread over the last five games, going 4-1. The team’s average scoring margin in these contests sits at 11 points per game. The over-under record in these same games is 3-2, with the teams combining for an average of 227 points per game.

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Analysis

Portland finished with 112 points in their game against the Mavericks. This total surpasses their season average of 105.5 points per game. Anfernee Simons led the scoring for the Trail Blazers, contributing 30 points. Additionally, Shaedon Sharpe chipped in with 24 points.

The Trail Blazers’ defense is presently ranked 12th in the league, allowing an average of 112.4 points per contest.

In their previous game, the Trail Blazers’ defense struggled against the Mavericks, giving up 125 points on a field goal percentage of 51%.

The Clippers’ offense finished with 117 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 113 points per contest. Leading the team in scoring is Paul George, who is averaging 23.4 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Kawhi Leonard also maintains a PPG average of 22.5 heading into the game.

So far, the Clippers’ defense is ranked 5th in the league at 109.0 points per contest.

In terms of two-point field goal attempts, the Clippers’ defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 52.1% while allowing 34.5% from downtown.

Betting Trends

  • Across their ten previous road games, Portland has an ATS mark of 7-3. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 3-7 while averaging 108 points per game.
  • The Clippers are 3-2 ATS in their last home games and 4-1 straight-up.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Trail Blazers have a straight-up record of 3-7. Their record vs the spread in these games was 5-5.
  • Through their last five games as the favorite, the Clippers have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight-up mark of 4-1.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Clippers come into this one having picked up three straight wins. Their last two wins have been by an average margin of 11.5 points. With a matchup against a banged Trail Blazers squad that has just six wins this year, I like Los Angeles to not only win but cover the spread.