Toronto Raptors vs. Detroit Pistons Odds, Analysis, Total Prediction

Toronto Raptors (7-7 SU, 8-6-0 ATS) vs. Detroit Pistons (3-11 SU, 6-8-0 ATS)
When: Monday, November 14th, 7:00 PM (ET)
Where: Little Caesars Arena, MI, Detroit
TV: BSDE

Point Spread: TOR -5.0/ DET +5
Total: 220.0
Money Line: Toronto Raptors -197/ +159

Notable Injuries

Raptors

• Khem Birch (Questionable) Knee
• Pascal Siakam (Out) Adductor
• Fred VanVleet (Out) Illness
• Precious Achiuwa (Out) Ankle

Pistons

• Cory Joseph (Questionable) Hip
• Alec Burks (Out) Conditioning
• Cade Cunningham (Out) Shin

Recent Form

The Raptors come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 7-7. So far, the team has gone 8-6-0 against the spread. The Raptors head into today’s action in the midst of a 2 game-losing streak. This has come while posting an average scoring margin of -16.5.

Toronto is trying to bounce back from a 118-104 loss to the Pacers. Going into this game, the team was 2 point underdog on the spread, giving them an ATS loss. Toronto missed out on an opportunity to add a win to their resume, as they held a 13-point lead going into halftime. Leading the team in scoring was OG Anunoby, as he contributed 26 points while hitting 56.2% of his shots.

The Pistons come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 3-11. So far, the team has gone 6-8-0 against the spread. Against the Raptors, the Pistons are looking to break out of 3 game losing streak. These defeats have come on an average scoring differential of -11.33 points per contest.

Not only did the Pistons drop their last game to the Celtics. But they also picked up an ATS loss, as they fell by a score of 117-108 as 8-point underdogs. Detroit let an opportunity for a win slip home as they held the lead going into the 2nd half of action. In the loss, Bojan Bogdanovic led the team in scoring with 28 points on a field goal percentage of 60.0%.

The Historicals

Last season, the Pistons not only won their season series against the Raptors (3-0), but they also took care of business at home, going 1-0 at the Little Caesars Arena. Similar to their season-long average, the Raptors averaged 104.67 points per game vs the Pistons. On the other side, Detroit saw an improvement in their scoring numbers when playing the Raptors, as they averaged 112.67 points per game in these matchups. The Pistons have had the better record vs the spread over the last 5 games, going 5-0. The team’s average scoring margin in these contests sits at 8 points per game. A combined average of 220 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 3-2.

Analysis

This season, the Toronto offense is ranked 17th in the NBA in scoring at 111.7 points per game. So far, the Raptors are averaging 97.5 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. A key aspect of the team’s offensive struggles is the fact that they not only play at a slow pace but they struggle to score inside. Heading into today’s game, Toronto is just 16th in shots made inside the arc.

On the defensive end of the floor, the Raptors are giving up an average of 107.1 points per game, good for 7th in the NBA.

On offense, OG Anunoby leads the Raptors in scoring at 17.21 points per game, placing him 67th in the NBA. Overall, Anunoby has hit 47.4% of his shots while accounting for 14.9% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 3rd in points allowed to small forwards. At 16.57 points per game, Gary Trent Jr. is the 2nd leading scorer for the Raptors.

Through 14 games, the Pistons are averaging 108.4 points per contest, placing them 28th in the NBA. So far, the Pistons are averaging 99.4 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. Right now, the Pistons’ offense is in search of answers, as not only do they tend to play at a slow pace, but they are just 30th in effective field goal percentage.

On defense, the Pistons will look for some improved play, as they are currently the 22nd-ranked unit in points allowed per game.

A key injury to note in this game is the absence of the Raptors’ 2nd leading scorer, Cade Cunningham. In his 12 games, Cunningham is averaging 19.92 points per game while dishing out 6.0 assists and grabbing 6.17 rebounds. In his absence, the team will be looking for even more production out of Bojan Bogdanovic, who leads the team and is 45th in the NBA at 20.29 points per contest. For the season, he has connected on 50.5% of his field goal attempts while taking 14.9% of the team’s shots from the floor.

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Betting Trends

• Raptors are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
• Raptors are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• Pistons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
• Pistons are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

Take the Under 220