Timberwolves vs. Warriors Odds, Analysis, Free Pick

Minnesota Timberwolves (37-37 SU, 35-39-0 ATS) vs. Golden State Warriors (39-36 SU, 35-39-1 ATS)
When: Sunday, March 26th, 8:30 PM (ET)
Where: Chase Center, CA, San Francisco
TV: NBCS

Point Spread: Min +6.5/GS -6.5
Total: 235.5
Money Line: Minnesota Timberwolves +212/-268

Notable Injuries

Timberwolves

• Karl-Anthony Towns (Questionable) Calf
• Jaylen Nowell (Questionable) Knee
• Anthony Edwards (Questionable) Ankle

Warriors

• Stephen Curry (Out) Personal
• Andre Iguodala (Out) Wrist
• Andrew Wiggins (Out) Personal
• Gary Payton II (Probable) Abdominal
• Ryan Rollins (Out) Foot

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Minnesota is 37-37 overall. When taking to the road, Minnesota has a mark of 16-20 and a win percentage of 44%. Currently, the team is 7th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 35-39-0 vs the spread. In their matchup against Golden State, the Minnesota Timberwolves have won 2 straight games and will look to push that mark to 3 in a row.

The Timberwolves from Minnesota triumphed in their last match against the Hawks, achieving a 125-124 victory. Naz Reid had the most points for the Timberwolves with 26. Despite the win, the Timberwolves did not cover the spread as 4-point favorites.

Heading into the game, Golden State is 39-36 overall. When playing at home, Golden State has a mark of 30-7 and a win percentage of 81%. Currently, the team is 6th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 35-39-1 vs the spread. Golden State will look to stay hot in today’s game vs Minnesota as they are the winners of 3 straight games.

In their previous game, the Golden State team emerged victorious against the 76ers, winning by a margin of 4 points as predicted. Jordan Poole shone for the Warriors, scoring 33 points on a shooting percentage of 52.6%. The Warriors not only won the game but also successfully covered the spread.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Warriors picked up the 137-114 win over the Timberwolves. The Warriors’ margin of victory was enough to cover the spread as 2.0 point favorite. So far this season, the Warriors have a record of 2-1 vs the Timberwolves. The ATS record across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings is 3-2 in favor of the Warriors. In these matchups, Golden State has averaged 119 points per game while allowing 116. A combined average of 235 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 3-2.

Analysis

This season, Minnesota is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 116.1 points per game. So far, the Timberwolves are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 101.4 possessions per game. When looking at the team’s 3-point shooting numbers, they profile as an average team in both percentage and attempts. For the season, the Timberwolves’ offense is ranked 15th in 3-point attempts per game while connecting at a rate of 36.1%. Defense has been a struggle for Minnesota, as they are currently allowing 113.3 points per game. However, even with their overall struggles, the team has done a good job defending the 3-point line. So far, opposing teams have hit just 34.89% of their looks from deep.

Heading into the game, Anthony Edwards is listed as questionable on the injury report. This season, he leads the team with a per-game scoring average of 24.7. Currently, Jaden McDaniels is 2nd on the team in scoring at 12.3 points per game.

This season, Golden State is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 118.5 points per game. So far, the Warriors are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 101.9 possessions per game. The Warriors have been able to put together a strong offensive attack despite sitting just 3rd in 3-point shooting percentage. Overall, they are among the league leaders in attempts at 43.2 attempts per game. Defensively, the Warriors have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 105.46 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.92%.

Heading into today’s game, Golden State will need a strong offensive effort from Jordan Poole and the team’s supporting cast as Stephen Curry won’t be available vs Minnesota. So far, Curry is averaging 29.6 points per game. Poole leads the Warriors at 20.3 points per contest.

Betting Trends

• Timberwolves are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
• Timberwolves are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 Sunday games.
• Warriors are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
• Warriors are 37-14-1 ATS in their last 52 home games.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

Minnesota has put away their last two opponents and is scoring at will. The Warriors are always a formidable opponent at home but aren’t beating teams up, giving us a nice value play on Minnesota at +6.5.