Timberwolves vs. Warriors Betting Analysis & Predictions

Minnesota Timberwolves (38-37 SU, 36-39-0 ATS) vs. Sacramento Kings (45-29 SU, 40-33-1 ATS)
When: Monday, March 27th, 10:00 PM (ET)
Where: Golden 1 Center, CA, Sacramento
TV: NBCS

Point Spread: Min +5.5/Sac -5.5
Total: 239.5
Money Line: Minnesota Timberwolves +188/-231

Notable Injuries

Timberwolves

• Matt Ryan (Out) Illness

Kings

• De’Aaron Fox (Questionable) Hamstring

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Minnesota is 38-37 overall. When taking to the road, Minnesota has a mark of 17-20 and a win percentage of 46%. Currently, the team is 7th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 36-39-0 vs. the spread. In their matchup against Sacramento, the Minnesota Timberwolves have won 3 straight games and will look to push that mark to 4 in a row.

After their win against the Warriors, Minnesota will be looking to continue their momentum. Naz Reid had a big game, scoring 23 points to help lead the team to victory. As 5-point underdogs on the spread, the Timberwolves were able to come away with an ATS win

Heading into the game, Sacramento is 45-29 overall. When playing at home, Sacramento has a mark of 23-15 and a win percentage of 61%. Currently, the team is 3rd in the Western Conference. So far, they are 40-33-1 vs. the spread. Sacramento will look to stay hot in today’s game vs. Minnesota as they are the winners of 2 straight games.

In their last outing, the Kings emerged victorious against the Jazz, winning by a score of 121-113. Kevin Huerter led the team in scoring with 27 points. The Sacramento team was not able to cover the spread as 9-point favorites.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Timberwolves picked up the win 117-110 win over the Kings. Heading into the game, Minnesota was the 1.5 point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. So far this season, the Timberwolves have a record of 2-1 vs. the Kings. Through the last five matchups between the teams, Minnesota has an ATS mark of 3-2. But, looking at the scoring margin in these games, an average of just 2 points per game separates the teams. Minnesota and Sacramento averaged a combined 244 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 3-2.

Analysis

This season, Minnesota is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 115.8 points per game. So far, the Timberwolves are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 101.3 possessions per game. When looking at the team’s 3-point shooting numbers, they profile as an average team in both percentage and attempts. For the season, the Timberwolves’ offense is ranked 14th in 3-point attempts per game while connecting at a rate of 36.2%. The defense has been a struggle for Minnesota, as they are currently allowing 113.3 points per game. However, even with their overall struggles, the team has done a good job defending the 3-point line. So far, opposing teams have hit just 34.89% of their looks from deep.

As the Timberwolves prepare for today’s game, Anthony Edwards is their leading scorer with an average of 24.6 points per game. This season, Edwards has a field goal percentage of 46.0%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Jaden McDaniels, who is averaging 12.1 points per game.

This season, Sacramento is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 121.1 points per game. So far, the Kings are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 100.8 possessions per game. Sacramento’s offensive attack has benefited from some hot shooting from outside. Not only are they among the league leaders in 3-pointers attempted per game, but they are 8th in 3-point shooting percentage at 37.4%. The defense has also been an issue for Sacramento, as they are currently allowing 115.77 points per game. The team’s 3-point shooting defense has been a problem this year. So far, opposing offenses have hit 37.05% of their looks from the outside.

Heading into the game, De’Aaron Fox is listed as questionable on the injury report. This season, he leads the team with a per-game scoring average of 25.3. Currently, Domantas Sabonis is 2nd on the team in scoring at 19.1 points per game.

Betting Trends

• The Timberwolves are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• The Timberwolves are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games.
• The Kings are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games playing on one day’s rest.
• The Kings are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Minnesota Timberwolves have themselves a nice little run going on, winners of three in a row and versus some pretty good competition. I think they can keep it within +5.5 vs. an inconsistent Sacramento Kings team Monday night.