Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Betting Predictions 2/7/23

Minnesota Timberwolves (29-27 SU, 27-29-0 ATS) vs. Denver Nuggets (37-17 SU, 28-25-1 ATS)
When: Tuesday, February 7th, 9:00 PM (ET)
Where: Ball Arena, CO, Denver
TV: ALT

Point Spread: Min +8/Den -8 (Deposit $200 and get $100 FREE at Bovada! Home of the fastest payouts and best live wagering platform on the web!)
Total: 236.0
Money Line: Minnesota Timberwolves +269/-337

Notable Injuries

Timberwolves

• Kyle Anderson (Questionable) Back
• Austin Rivers (Out) Suspension
• Rudy Gobert (Questionable) Groin
• Karl-Anthony Towns (Out) Calf
• Jordan McLaughlin (Questionable) Calf

Nuggets

• Aaron Gordon (Probable) Ankle
• Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Probable) Ankle
• Nikola Jokic (Probable) Hamstring
• Jamal Murray (Probable) Injury Management
• Zeke Nnaji (Questionable) Shoulder
• Collin Gillespie (Out) Lower Leg
• Jack White (Probable) Adductor

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Minnesota is 29-27 overall. When taking to the road, Minnesota has a mark of 9-15 and a win percentage of 38%. Currently, the team is 8th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 27-29-0 vs. the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs. the spread, they are 3-2 in their past five games and 3-2 ATS. Over their past ten games, they are 7-3 SU and 7-3 ATS.

In their previous game, the Minnesota team emerged victorious against the Nuggets, winning by a margin of 8 points as predicted. Anthony Edwards shone for the Timberwolves, scoring 20 points on a shooting percentage of 47.1%. The Timberwolves not only won the game but also successfully covered the spread.

Heading into the game, Denver is 37-17 overall. When playing at home, Denver has a mark of 25-4 and a win percentage of 86%. Currently, the team is 1st in the Western Conference. So far, they are 28-25-1 vs. the spread. In Denver’s last five games, the Nuggets have a straight-up record of 3-2 while going 3-2 in those games. Going back to the last 10, they are 6-4 and 5-5 ATS.

Denver most recently lost to the Timberwolves by a score of 128-98. The team high 22 points from Michael Porter Jr. was not enough to come home with the win. The Nuggets were 8-point favorites going into the game.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Timberwolves picked up the win 124-111 win over the Nuggets. Heading into the game, Minnesota was the 4.0-point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. So far this season, the Timberwolves have a record of 2-1 vs. the Nuggets. The Timberwolves have had the better record vs. the spread over the last five games, going 5-0. The team’s average scoring margin in these contests sits at 12 points per game. Minnesota and Denver averaged a combined 242 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 4-1.

Analysis

This season, Minnesota is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 115.5 points per game. So far, the Timberwolves are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 101.2 possessions per game. When looking at the team’s 3-point shooting numbers, they profile as an average team in both percentage and attempts. For the season, the Timberwolves’ offense is ranked 14th in 3-point attempts per game while connecting at a rate of 35.4%. The defense has been a struggle for Minnesota, as they are currently allowing 113.3 points per game. However, even with their overall struggles, the team has done a good job defending the 3-point line. So far, opposing teams have hit just 34.89% of their looks from deep.

Anthony Edwards is the top scorer for the Timberwolves, with an average of 24.7 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 46.1%. D’Angelo Russell is the team’s second-leading scorer, averaging 18.1 points per game.

For the season, Denver has put together one of the top-scoring offenses in the NBA at 116.8 points per game. When looking at their style of play, the team is currently near the league average in pace, averaging 98.3 possessions per contest. Denver has struggled with their 3-point shot this season, as they are currently ranked just 1st in 3-point shooting percentage at 39.6%. In addition, they are near the bottom of the league in attempts, at just 31.0 attempts per contest. On defense, the Nuggets allow an average of 110.41 points per game, placing them 14th in the league. So far, they have done a good job defending the 3-point arc, as teams are hitting just 34.42% of their looks from deep.

Going into today’s game, Nikola Jokic is the leading scorer for the Denver team, with an average of 24.8 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 63.2%. The team’s second top scorer is Jamal Murray, who is averaging 20.2 points per game.

Betting Trends

• The Timberwolves are 9-1 ATS in their last ten games vs. a team with a winning straight-up record.
• The Timberwolves are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
• The Nuggets are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss.
• The Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

I’ll take a pop on a Minnesota T-Wolves team at +8 that has won seven of their last ten games. They crushed the Nuggets in their last game, and I do expect Denver to come out more motivated, but Minny is just hot enough that revenge motivation may not be enough to get the cover. I’m betting the Timberwolves at +8! Bet your pro basketball picks for FREE this week by scoring a 100% REAL CASH bonus up to $500 when you enter bonus promo code PREDICTEM on the Special Offers Page after you’ve deposited and before you place your first bet at Everygame Sportsbook! In business since 1983 and considered to be the most trusted bookie on the web! Click here to get rolling now!