Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

Oklahoma City Thunder (11-5 SU, 12-4 ATS) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (12-4 SU, 9-6 ATS)

When: Tuesday, November 28th, 8:00 PM (ET)

Where: Target Center, MN, Minneapolis

TV: BSN

Point Spread: OKC +4/Min -4

Total: 227.5

Money Line: Oklahoma City Thunder +143/-171

Notable Injuries

Thunder

• Josh Giddey (Probable) Personal

Timberwolves

• Jordan McLaughlin (Out) Knee
• Jaden McDaniels (Out) Ankle
• Jaylen Clark (Out) Achilles

Recent Form

Coming into today’s game vs. the Timberwolves, the Thunder are looking to build on their above .500 record of 11-5. Currently, in the Western Conference, the team is ranked 2nd, and they are 2nd in the Northwest division.

The Timberwolves will face the Thunder, bringing in an overall record of 12-4 and a 2-1 record over their previous three games. Across their 16 games, the Timberwolves have recorded an 8-2 record when facing teams from the Western Conference and a 4-2 record in non-conference games.

The Historicals

Over the last five head-to-head meetings, the Timberwolves have averaged 118 points per game compared to 110 for Oklahoma City. This has led to an ATS record of 3-2 for Minnesota. A combined average of 228 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 1-4.

Analysis

The Thunder offense is coming off a game in which they scored 123 points vs. the 76ers. Overall, their field goal percentage was 43.9% while connecting on 16 threes. In terms of offense, the Thunder have a season-long field goal percentage of 49%, putting them 2nd in the NBA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 1st in percentage and 13th in three-pointers made.The Thunder’s defense is presently ranked 9th in the league, allowing an average of 111.2 points per contest.

In their previous game, the Thunder’s defense struggled against the 76ers, giving up 127 points on a field goal percentage of 45%.

The Timberwolves offense is coming off a game where they scored 119 points against the Grizzlies. They posted a field goal percentage of 53.1% and connected on 15 threes. Anthony Edwards is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 26.6. Meanwhile, Karl-Anthony Towns also brings a PPG average of 21.8 into the game.At this time, the Timberwolves’ defense is positioned 3rd in the NBA, permitting 106.4 points per game.

When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Timberwolves squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 49.6% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 33.4% from downtown.

Betting Trends

• Through their last ten road contests, the Thunder offense has averaged 116 points per game while allowing an average of 107. Oklahoma City posted an overall record of 8-2 while going 8-2 ATS.
• Although Minnesota has a straight-up record of 4-1 in their last five home games, they have not held up as well vs. the spread going 2-2-1. The team averaged 115 points per game in these games.
• Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Thunder have a straight-up record of 6-4. Their record vs. the spread in these games was 7-3.
• Through their last five games as the favorite, the Timberwolves have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight-up mark of 4-1.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

If you would have told me that this far into the season, a matchup between the Timberwolves and Thunder would be a battle between the 1st and 2nd place teams in the West, I wouldn’t have believed you. Yet, Minnesota leads the Western Conference at 12-4 and is a 4-point favorite over OKC at 11-5. I see Anthony Edwards putting together a huge game and Rudy Gobert causing issues for Chet Holmgren. My pick is to take Minnesota at -4 at home.