Thunder vs. Rockets Point Spread Pick

Oklahoma City Thunder (8-11 SU, 15-4-0 ATS) vs. Houston Rockets (4-14 SU, 8-8-2 ATS)
When: Saturday, November 26th, 8:00 PM (ET)
Where: Toyota Center, TX, Houston
TV: NBA

Point Spread: OKC -2.5/ HOU +2.5
Total: 233.5
Money Line: Oklahoma City Thunder -142/ +119

Notable Injuries

Thunder

• Mike Muscala (Out) Finger
• Chet Holmgren (Out) Foot

Rockets

• Eric Gordon (Out) Injury Management
• Jae’Sean Tate (Out) Ankle
• Bruno Fernando (Probable) Knee
• Alperen Sengün (Out) Groin
• Jalen Green (Probable) Toe
• Josh Christopher (Probable) Shoulder

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Oklahoma City is 8-11 overall. When taking to the road, Oklahoma City has a mark of 3-6 and a win percentage of 33.0%. Currently, the team is 12th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 15-4-0 vs. the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs. the spread, they are 2-3 in their past five games and 2-3 ATS. Over their past ten games, they are 4-6 SU and 5-5 ATS.

Oklahoma City will be looking to build on their most recent win over the Bulls. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team to a win with his 30 points. The Thunder were 3-point underdogs on the spread, giving them an ATS win.

Heading into the game, Houston is 4-14 overall. When playing at home, Houston has a mark of 2-5 and a win percentage of 29%. Currently, the team is 15th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 8-8-2 vs. the spread. In Houston’s last five games, the Rockets have a straight-up record of 2-3 while going 3-2 in those games. Going back to the last 10, they are 3-7 and 5-5 ATS.

The Historicals

Today’s game will be the first game of the season between the two teams. Last year, the Rockets took the series 3-1, including going 2-Last season, the Rockets not only won their season series against the Thunder (3-1), but they also took care of business at home, going 2-0 at home.

Analysis

This year, the Thunder have put together one of the better offensive units in the NBA at 117 points per game. However, they are also the 29th-rated defense, giving them an average scoring margin of -1.1 points per game. For the season, they are the number 1 team in terms of shot attempts per game. However, their efficiency numbers are right around the league average. Currently, they have an overall field goal percentage of 47%. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the team leader in scoring at 31 points per contest, which is 5th best in the league. Luguentz Dort is second on the team, providing 14.2 points per game to the team’s offensive attack.

The Houston Rockets will enter tonight’s game averaging 109.7 points per game, which is just 22nd in the league. Defensively, the Rockets are allowing an average of 116 points per contest, which also places them as a below-average team. A key to their offensive struggles is the fact that they are 30th in team shooting percentage at just 44%. So far, their greatest strength has been their ability to get to the free-throw line, ranking 3rd in free-throw attempts per game. Jalen Green is the top scorer for Houston at 21.5 points per game. Kevin Porter Jr. has also provided some solid scoring for the team at 19.2 points per contest.

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Betting Trends

• Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• Thunder are 4-1 ATS in their last five Saturday games.
• Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight-up win.
• Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last five when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
• Rockets are 28-58 ATS in their last 86 home games.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

OKC played last night, went to overtime and beat the Chicago Bulls, then had to travel to Houston for a back-to-back. Houston is only 4-14, but catch the Thunder in a good spot. The wrong team is favored! Hou wins straight up.