Suns vs Warriors Predictions, Picks & Betting Odds: Suns Set to Shine?

Phoenix Suns (24-22 SU, 16-29 ATS) vs. Golden State Warriors (24-23 SU, 24-23 ATS)

When: Friday, January 31st, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Chase Center, CA, San Francisco

TV: ESPN

Point Spread: Pho -1/GS +1

Total: 227.5

Money Line: Phoenix Suns -113/-106

Notable Injuries

Suns

• No Injuries Reported

Warriors

• Draymond Green (Out) Calf
• Jonathan Kuminga (Out) Ankle

At 10:00 ET, the Golden State Warriors will host the Phoenix Suns at Chase Center in San Francisco. The Suns are favored by 1 point, and the over/under line is 227.5.

Phoenix is 24-22 and 9th in the Western Conference. The Warriors are 24-23 and 11th in the West. Golden State has won two in a row.

Recent Form

After a 121-113 loss to the Timberwolves on Wednesday, the Suns are now 24-22 this season. Phoenix was favored by 1 point but failed to cover the spread, and the game’s total of 234 points went over the O/U line of 223.

At home, the Suns started strong with an 11-0 run, jumping out to a 13-5 lead. They took a 29-22 lead after the 1st quarter but were outscored 33-30 in the 2nd. A tough 3rd quarter saw them score just 18 points to Minnesota’s 26. Despite a late push in the 4th, where they scored 36 points, they couldn’t close the gap, as the Timberwolves put up 40 points in the final period.

The Warriors improved to 24-23 on the season with a 116-109 win over the Thunder on Wednesday. Golden State, who were +9.5 point underdogs, not only won but covered the spread. The total points for the game reached 225, just over the pre-game line of 223.

After falling behind 34-20 in the 1st quarter, the Warriors turned things around with an 11-0 run, taking the score from 64-61 to 72-64. They outscored the Thunder 36-26 in the 3rd quarter and 32-25 in the 4th after entering the final period tied at 84.

The Historicals

Over the last five head-to-head meetings, the Suns have averaged 114 points per game compared to 111 for Golden State. This has led to an ATS record of 4-1 for Phoenix. In these contests, they averaged a combined 225 points per game, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.

Analysis

Kevin Durant’s 33-point performance on 68.4% shooting wasn’t enough to lift the Suns past the Timberwolves, as they fell 121-113. Durant hit four threes at a 50% clip, while Devin Booker added 28 points and eight assists despite shooting just 28.6% from deep.

Bradley Beal contributed 17 points, shooting 60% from the field. The Suns connected on 12 threes, shooting 37.5% from beyond the arc, and finished with a 50.6% overall field goal percentage.

Defensively, the Suns had a strong 1st quarter, holding the Timberwolves to 22 points, but they struggled in the 2nd and 4th quarters, allowing 33 and 40 points, respectively, in a 121-113 loss. Overall, Phoenix allowed Minnesota to shoot 56% from the field.

The Suns gave up 13 threes on 44% shooting from beyond the arc. They sent the Timberwolves to the line 27 times, where they made 24 free throws. Phoenix finished with 26 defensive rebounds, allowing four offensive boards while also recording seven steals and six blocks.

Andrew Wiggins led the Warriors to a win over the Thunder, scoring 27 points and hitting five threes at 62.5%. He shot 58.8% from the field overall. Stephen Curry also made five threes, finishing with 21 points, including 9 in the 4th quarter.

Kevon Looney contributed 18 points on 71.4% shooting, and Gary Payton II added 15, with six coming in the final period. The Warriors hit 13 threes at 34.2%, shooting 49.4% from the field overall.

Despite a rough start, the Warriors tightened up defensively after the 1st quarter, allowing just 75 points over the final three quarters to secure a win over the Thunder. Golden State held Oklahoma City to 40% shooting from the field, including just 9 made threes on 23% shooting from beyond the arc.

The Warriors sent the Thunder to the line 25 times, where they made 20 free throws. Golden State grabbed 35 defensive rebounds but gave up 17 offensive boards. They also contributed six steals and seven blocked shots in the game.

Betting Trends

• Phoenix has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 108 points per game while allowing 107. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
• Golden State has a 2-3 record in their last five home games. In this stretch, they averaged 107 points per game while allowing 110. The team also performed well vs. the spread at 3-2.
• In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Warriors have a straight-up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 2-1.
• In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Suns have a straight up record of 7-3 and an ATS mark of 3-6-1.

Joe’s Pick To Cover The Spread

The NBA saved the best matchup of the night for last on Friday, as both the Suns and Warriors have 24 wins, and the Suns are the slight favorite. Each team has also been mentioned in trade rumors for some of the big names that are available around the league. Without Draymond Green, I see the Suns coming out on top and covering in this nationally televised showdown.