Suns vs. Warriors Pick & Predictions

Phoenix Suns (37-30 SU, 37-28-2 ATS) vs. Golden State Warriors (35-33 SU, 32-35-1 ATS)

When: Monday, March 13th, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Chase Center, CA, San Francisco

TV: ESPN

Point Spread: Pho +4.5/GS -4.5 (Bet smarter! STOP laying -110 odds! Start laying only -105 today at BetAnySports Sportsbook! You’ll be so happy you made the switch!)

Total: 239.5

Money Line: Phoenix Suns +156/-191

Notable Injuries

Suns

• Kevin Durant (Out) Ankle
• Landry Shamet (Out) Foot

Warriors

• Draymond Green (Probable) Ankle
• Andre Iguodala (Probable) Hip
• Andrew Wiggins (Out) Personal
• Gary Payton II (Out) Abdominal
• Jonathan Kuminga (Questionable) Ankle
• Ryan Rollins (Out) Foot

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Phoenix is 37-30 overall. When taking to the road, Phoenix has a mark of 15-19 and a win percentage of 44%. Currently, the team is 4th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 37-28-2 vs. the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs. the spread, they are 4-1 in their past five games and 4-1 ATS. Over their past ten games, they are 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS.

In their last game, Phoenix was defeated by the Kings with a score of 128-119. Despite Devin Booker scoring 28 points, the team was unable to come out on top. Going into the game, the Suns were 4-point favorites.

Heading into the game, Golden State is 35-33 overall. When playing at home, Golden State has a mark of 28-7 and a win percentage of 80%. Currently, the team is 6th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 32-35-1 vs. the spread. In Golden State’s last five games, the Warriors have a straight-up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 in those games. Going back to the last 10, they are 6-4 and 6-4 ATS.

In their preceding game, the Warriors overpowered the Bucks, earning a 125-116 win as 3-point favorites. Stephen Curry led the way for the Warriors, putting up 36 points on 48.1% shooting. The Warriors not only secured the victory but also covered the spread.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Suns picked up the 134-105 win over the Warriors. The Suns’ margin of victory was enough to cover the spread as a 2-point favorite. So far this season, the Suns have a record of 3-0 vs. the Warriors. In terms of betting, Phoenix has an ATS record of 3-2 in the previous five matchups vs. Golden State. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +9 points per game in favor of the Suns. A combined average of 231 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 4-1.

Analysis

This season, the Suns’ offense averages 113.4 points per game, which is 19th in the NBA. In terms of pace, Phoenix has been playing at one of the slower tempo’s in the league, averaging just 97.8 possessions per game. In terms of 3-point shooting, the Suns are ranked 16th in attempts per game. However, they have been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the league, connecting at a rate of 37.8%. Defensively, the Suns have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 107.33 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.88%.

An important injury to consider for today’s game is that Phoenix will be without Kevin Durant, who is listed as out on the injury report. Devin Booker will assume the role of primary scorer for the team. This season, Booker has been averaging 27.6 points per game for the Suns.

This season, Golden State is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 118.1 points per game. So far, the Warriors are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 102.1 possessions per game. The Warriors have been able to put together a strong offensive attack despite sitting just 4th in a 3-point shooting percentage. Overall, they are among the league leaders in attempts at 43.4 attempts per game. Defensively, the Warriors have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 105.46 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.92%.

Coming into today’s game, Jordan Poole is the leading scorer for Golden State at 20.6 points per game. This season, Poole has a field goal percentage of 42.6%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Stephen Curry, at 29.8 points per contest.

More Picks: Milwaukee at Sacramento betting analysis and pick 3/13/23

Betting Trends

• The Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• The Suns are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games.
• The Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win.
• The Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight-up win.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The loss of Kevin Durant is being overstated. The Suns are playing good basketball, and the Warriors are not. I believe Phoenix can keep it within the point spread. I’m betting the Suns at +4.5! Bankroll running low? Fix that problem with a massive 100% bonus from one of the top tier sportsbooks on our best sportsbook bonuses page!