Suns vs. Nuggets Spread Winning Pick

Phoenix Suns (45-37 SU, 45-41-2 ATS) vs. Denver Nuggets (53-29 SU, 48-39-1 ATS)

When: Monday, May 1st, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Ball Arena, CO, Denver

TV: TNT

Point Spread: Pho +4.5/Den -4.5 (Why bet NBA games at -110 odds when you can wager at -105 at BetAnySports? Bet smart!)

Total: 227.5

Money Line: Phoenix Suns +155/-188

Notable Injuries

Suns

None

Nuggets

None

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Phoenix is 45-37 overall. When taking to the road, Phoenix has a mark of 17-24 and a win percentage of 41%. Currently, the team is 4th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 45-41-2 vs. the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs. the spread, they are 4-1 in their past 5 games and 2-3 ATS. Over their past 10 games, they are 6-4 SU, and 4-6 ATS.

Most recently, Phoenix lost to the Nuggets by a score of 125-107. Kevin Durant and his 29 points were not enough for the team to pull out a win as 4-point underdogs. The Suns also finished with an ATS loss in the game.

Heading into the game, Denver is 53-29 overall. When playing at home, Denver has a mark of 34-7 and a win percentage of 83%. Currently, the team is 1st in the Western Conference. So far, they are 48-39-1 vs the spread. Denver will look to stay hot in today’s game vs Phoenix as they are the winners of 2 straight games.

In their last game, Denver defeated the Suns (125-107) as 4-point favorites. Jamal Murray led the team with 34 points on 54.2% shooting. The Nuggets also covered the spread with the victory.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Nuggets picked up the 125-107 win over the Suns. The Nuggets’ margin of victory was enough to cover the spread as 4.0 point favorite. So far this season, the Nuggets have a record of 3-2 vs the Suns. The ATS record across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings is 4-1 in favor of the Nuggets. In these matchups, Denver has averaged 117 points per game while allowing 109. A combined average of 226 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 3-2.

Analysis

This year, Phoenix is the 30th-ranked scoring unit in the NBA at 113.6 points per game. Their strong production has come despite being one of the slower-paced teams in the NBA at just 98.0 possessions per game. Phoenix has struggled with their 3-point shot this season, as they are currently ranked just 5th in 3-point shooting percentage at 37.4%. In addition, they are near the bottom of the league in attempts, at just 32.6 attempts per contest. Defensively, the Suns have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 107.33 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.88%.

Going into today’s game, Devin Booker is averaging 27.8 points per game on a field goal percentage of 49.4%. The team’s top scorer is Kevin Durant, who is averaging 29.1 points per game.

This season, the Nuggets’ offense is averaging 115.8 points per game, which is 16th in the NBA. In terms of pace, Denver has been playing at one of the slower tempo’s in the league, averaging just 97.9 possessions per game. Denver has struggled with their 3-point shot this season, as they are currently ranked just 4th in 3-point shooting percentage at 37.9%. In addition, they are near the bottom of the league in attempts, at just 31.2 attempts per contest. On defense, the Nuggets are allowing an average of 110.41 points per game, placing them 14th in the league. So far, they have done a good job defending the 3-point arc, as teams are hitting just 34.42% of their looks from deep.

As the Nuggets prepare for today’s game, Nikola Jokic is their leading scorer, with an average of 24.5 points per game. This season, Jokic has a field goal percentage of 63.2%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Jamal Murray, who is averaging 20.0 points per game.

Betting Trends

• The Suns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
• The Suns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
• The Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
• The Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Suns got beat up and the general betting public are overstating the loss. If you took a +4.5 spread and applied it to the Suns vs. Nuggets games over the last seven matchups, Phoenix would have covered to the tune of 5-2 for a tidy profit. The past is in the past. Win, lose or draw, the wagering value is with the Suns today. Bet your NBA predictions for FREE this week by scoring a massive 125% real cash bonus up to $400 when you use bonus promo code PREDICTEM at GTBets Sportsbook!