Suns vs. Kings Picks and Predictions: Best Bets for Wednesday Night

Phoenix Suns (9-2 SU, 4-7 ATS) vs. Sacramento Kings (6-5 SU, 6-5 ATS)

When: Wednesday, November 13th, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Golden 1 Center, CA, Sacramento

TV: NBCS

Point Spread: Pho +7.5/Sac -7.5

Total: 225.5

Money Line: Phoenix Suns +241/-293

Notable Injuries

Suns

• Bradley Beal (Questionable) Calf
• Jusuf Nurkic (Questionable) Ankle
• Kevin Durant (Out) Calf
• Collin Gillespie (Out) Ankle

Kings

• Malik Monk (Out) Ankle
• Orlando Robinson (Out) Knee
• Devin Carter (Out) Shoulder

At 10:00 ET, the Sacramento Kings (-293) will host the Phoenix Suns (+241) in a Western Pacific division matchup. The Suns (9-2) currently sit atop the Western Conference and are 1st in the Pacific division. The Kings (6-5) are 10th in the West and 5th in the Pacific.

The over/under line for this game is currently sitting at 225.5 points. NBCS will have the TV coverage for this game, which will be played at the Golden 1 Center in Sacramento.

Recent Form

The Suns improved to 9-2 this season with a 120-112 road win over the Jazz on Tuesday. Phoenix, favored by 5.5 points, covered the spread, while the total score of 232 points narrowly exceeded the 228.5-point line.

A key moment came when the Suns went on a 12-0 run, turning a 39-32 deficit into a 44-39 lead. They controlled the game from there, leading 87-79 going into the 4th quarter and matching the Jazz 33-33 in the final period.

The Kings dropped to 6-5 this season after a 116-96 road loss to the Spurs on Monday. Sacramento, favored by 2.5 points, not only lost but failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 212 fell short of the 222.5 O/U line.

Sacramento went on a 10-0 run early, but the Spurs took control, outscoring the Kings 38-29 in the 2nd quarter. The Kings struggled in the 3rd, scoring just 16 points, and couldn’t close the gap in the 4th, where they were outscored 32-25.

The Historicals

The Kings have had the better record vs the spread over the last 5 games, going 4-1. The team’s average scoring margin in these contests sits at 3 points per game. The over-under record in these same games is 2-3, with the teams combining for an average of 235 points per game.

Analysis

Devin Booker led the Suns to a 120-112 win over the Jazz, scoring 31 points, including 15 in the 4th quarter. He hit 5 threes at a 55.6% rate, while the team shot 46.2% from deep, making 18 threes overall.

Bradley Beal added 24 points, with 7 coming in the final period. Grayson Allen also hit 4 threes, finishing with 15 points. The Suns shot 50% from the field in the victory.

The Suns held the Jazz to 112 points on Tuesday, despite Utah shooting 48% from the field. Phoenix’s best defensive effort came in the 1st quarter, where they allowed just 21 points. The Jazz scored 28 in the 2nd, 30 in the 3rd, and 33 in the 4th.

From beyond the arc, the Suns gave up 15 threes on 39% shooting. They sent the Jazz to the line 9 times, where Utah hit 7 free throws. Phoenix recorded 32 defensive rebounds, allowed 12 offensive boards, and added 6 steals and 11 blocks.

In their 116-96 loss to the Spurs, the Kings struggled offensively, shooting just 42.9% from the field and hitting only 10 threes at a 26.3% clip. De’Aaron Fox led the way with 24 points, 6 rebounds, and 3 assists, making 2 threes at 40% efficiency.

Domantas Sabonis contributed 23 points and 12 rebounds, shooting 57.9%, while DeMar DeRozan added 21 points, 8 rebounds, and 6 assists, hitting 53.3% of his shots. Fox scored 9 points in the 4th quarter, while Sabonis added 7 in the final period.

The Kings struggled defensively in the 2nd and 4th quarters, giving up 38 and 32 points, respectively, in their 116-96 loss to the Spurs. Sacramento allowed San Antonio to shoot 50% from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Spurs hit 22 threes at a 47% clip. The Kings sent the Spurs to the line just 8 times, where they went 8/8. Sacramento finished with 11 steals and 4 blocks.

Betting Trends

• Across the Suns last ten road games, the team averaged 113 points per game while allowing 112. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 5-5, while going 7-3 straight-up.
• Across the Kings last ten home games, the team averaged 113 points per game while allowing 111. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 5-5, while going 5-5 straight-up.
• Phoenix has done well both straight up and vs the spread as the underdog, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.
• In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Kings have a straight up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 2-3.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

Without Kevin Durant and possibly Bradley Beal, the Suns are +7.5 point underdogs heading into Wednesday night’s matchup vs the Kings. Not only that, but they are playing on back-to-back nights. On the other side, the Kings are coming off a rough outing vs the Spurs on Monday and have a great chance to get back on track. Even if Beal is able to play, the Suns might hang around early, but I like the Kings to win this one and cover the spread.