Spurs vs. Jazz Recommended Bet 2/25/23

When: Saturday, February 25th, 9:00 PM (ET)

Where: Vivint Smart Home Arena, UT, Salt Lake City

TV: SN-RM

Point Spread: SA +10/UT -10 (Deposit $100, get $100 free when sign up through our link and use bonus promo code PREDICT100 at MyBookie Sportsbook!

Total: 242.0

Money Line: SAS +385/Jazz -511

Notable Injuries

Spurs

• Khem Birch (Out) Knee
• Romeo Langford (Out) Adductor
• Isaiah Roby (Out) Ankle
• Devin Vassell (Out) Knee
• Tre Jones (Questionable) Foot
• Jeremy Sochan (Probable) Quad

Jazz

• Kelly Olynyk (Questionable) Ankle
• Rudy Gay (Questionable) Nose
• Collin Sexton (Out) Hamstring
• Micah Potter (Out) Elbow

Recent Form

Heading into the game, San Antonio is 14-46 overall. When taking to the road, San Antonio has a mark of 5-25 and a win percentage of 17%. Currently, the team is 14th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 24-36-0 vs the spread. San Antonio travels to take on the Jazz, hoping to avoid their 16th straight loss.

In their last outing, San Antonio was unable to come away with a win against the Mavericks, losing by a score of 142-116. Malaki Branham led the team with 23 points, but it was not enough to overcome their status as 14-point underdogs. The Spurs also ended up with an ATS loss in the game.

Heading into the game, Utah is 30-31 overall. When playing at home, Utah has a mark of 19-12 and a win percentage of 61%. Currently, the team is 10th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 32-26-3 vs the spread. In Utah’s last 5 games, the Jazz have a straight up record of 3-2 while going 3-1-1 in those games. Going back to the last 10, they are 5-5 and 5-4-1 ATS.

The Jazz are looking to build on their recent 120-119 victory against the Thunder. Lauri Markkanen led the team with 43 points. When it came to the spread, Utah and the Thunder ended up with an ATS push.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Spurs picked up the win 126-122 win over the Jazz. Heading into the game, San Antonio was the 4.5-point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. This has been the only matchup between the two teams this season. When looking at how these teams have performed vs the spread in recent matchups, the Spurs have an ATS mark of 4-1. Yet, the Jazz have averaged more points per game in these contests, at 117 compared to Utah at 111. Over the course of these games, they averaged 228 points per game, leading a 3-2 over-under record.

Analysis

For the season, San Antonio is averaging just 112.5 points per game, which is 25th in the league. This below-average production has come despite being one of the faster-paced teams in the NBA (5th). San Antonio has struggled with their 3-point shot this season, as they are currently ranked just 25th in 3-point shooting percentage at 34.2%. In addition, they are near the bottom of the league in attempts, at just 30.8 attempts per contest. Defense has been a struggle for San Antonio, as they are currently allowing 113.04 points per game. In terms of their 3-point defense, opposing teams have hit 35.84% of their looks from deep, placing the Spurs 20th in the NBA.

Heading into this matchup, San Antonio is in jeopardy of not having Tre Jones in the lineup as he is questionable. This season, he is the team’s second-leading scorer at 12.8 points per game. So far, Keldon Johnson leads the team in scoring and is averaging 21.8 points per contest.

For the season, Utah has put together one of the top-scoring offenses in the NBA at 117.6 points per game. When looking at their style of play, the team is currently near the league average in pace, averaging 100.1 possessions per contest. The three-point shot has been a big part of Utah’s offensive game plan, as they are ranked 5th in 3-point attempts per game. So far, they have connected on 36.0% of their looks from outside. Defensively, the Jazz have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 107.57 points per game. So far, they have allowed a 3-point shooting percentage of 35.09%, placing them 15th in the NBA.

Lauri Markkanen is the top scorer for the Jazz, with an average of 25.2 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 51.3%. Jordan Clarkson is the team’s second-leading scorer, averaging 21.1 points per game.

Betting Trends

Spurs are 10-27 ATS in their last 37 games following a straight up loss.
Spurs are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 road games.

Jazz are 3-0-2 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Jazz are 3-0-2 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Spurs are most definitely tanking with hopes of grabbing the first pick in the 2023 NBA draft. That doesn’t mean they’re not going to cover spreads though. In fact, bookies will most likely use this fact to inflate lines and smash the general betting public for the rest of the season. If you made the Jazz a -10 favorite over their last eleven games, they wouldn’t have covered ANY of those contests. And that’s the way I’m playing it tonight! I’m betting the Spurs at +10!